Saarland
Election trend
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Saarland: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 18.03.2022

Polling data

SPD
38.0
+2.5
CDU
30.0
±0.0
AfD
6.0
-2.5
FDP
5.5
-1.0
Grüne
5.0
-2.0
Linke
3.5
-2.0
Sonst.
12.0
+5.0
Development since the last election on 27.03.2022
SPD
-5.5
CDU
+1.5
AfD
+0.3
FDP
+0.7
Grüne
+0.1
Linke
+0.9
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 978 respondents – 15.03.2022-18.03.2022

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Saarland is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Saarland - The latest poll for the State election in Saarland from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: SPD 38%, CDU 30%, AfD 6%, FDP 5.5%, Grüne 5% and Die Linke 3.5%. If an election were held in Saarland this Sunday, CDU might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.5 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Anke Rehlinger is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from SPD. With 45.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 978 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (15.03.2022 - 18.03.2022).

Coalition possibilities

51
SPD
23
Grüne
3
FDP
3
CDU
18
AfD
4
Majority requires 26 seats
SPD + CDU
41
SPD + FDP
26
SPD + Grüne
26
CDU + AfD + FDP
25
CDU + FDP + Grüne
24
SPD
23

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Saarland was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 15.03.2022 and 18.03.2022 among 978 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SPD 38%, CDU 30%, AfD 6%, FDP 5.5%, Grüne 5% and Die Linke 3.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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