These symbols illustrate a party's political orientation to facilitate quick comparison. These categories offer a broad classification; for detailed policy positions, please visit the individual party pages.

Far-Left

Left

Centre-Left

Centre

Big-tent party

Unknown

Centre-Right

Right

Far-Right

Liberal

Green

Regional

Animal Welfare

Satire

GMK

N/A

November 17, 2025 - November 26, 2025

500 respondents

Next Salzburg General Election: 2028

The next Salzburg General Election is expected in 2028.

Salzburg's Governing Coalition Retains Stable Majority

Based on the GMK projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 66.7% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from GMK?

According to the latest national poll in Salzburg by GMK, ÖVP leads with 33%. They are followed by FPÖ: 29%, SPÖ: 17%, GRÜNE: 8%, KPÖ: 7% and NEOS: 4%. Other parties secure 2% of the votes.

Current Election Trend: Salzburg

Poll results, coalitions, and election data

All Election Polls

Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data

What do the parties stand for?

Information, comparisons, and data on parties in Salzburg

Quality Check: How Reliable is the GMK Projection?

PolitPro Score

GMK achieved a PolitPro Score of 75 out of 100.

Election Accuracy

On average, GMK's figures deviate by percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

Overestimates ÖVP

In 29% of polls, GMK rated ÖVP higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates FPÖ

In 29% of polls, GMK rated FPÖ lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates GRÜNE

In 29% of polls, GMK rated GRÜNE lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates NEOS

In 33% of polls, GMK rated NEOS lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

Underestimates SPÖ

In 29% of polls, GMK rated SPÖ lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).

GMK at a Glance

Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias

Which institutes are the most reliable?

Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

Majority requires 19 seats

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the Salzburg election is 5%.

PolitPro Analysis

Likelihood of an Absolute Majority

ÖVP

??%
FPÖ

??%
SPÖ

??%

Likelihood of Winning the Election

ÖVP

??%
FPÖ

??%
SPÖ

??%

Likelihood of Crossing the Electoral Threshold

GRÜNE

??%
KPÖ

??%
NEOS

??%

How Does the PolitPro Analysis Work?

Election polls are not predictions; they are snapshots subject to statistical fluctuations. To provide a realistic picture, we daily simulate 100,000 election outcomes based on the PolitPro Election Trend using the 'Monte Carlo method'. In doing so, we factor in typical voter migration patterns and political trends. Our algorithm tests various scenarios – from minor shifts within political camps to unexpected political developments – to determine the true chances of success for parties and coalitions.

Unlock Analysis

Projected Parliamentary Composition (Source: GMK)

According to GMK, 5 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter the Salzburg parliament: ÖVP with 13 representatives, FPÖ with 11 representatives, SPÖ with 7 representatives, GRÜNE with 3 representatives and KPÖ with 2 representatives.

The Electoral System in Salzburg

Salzburg's electoral system selects 36 representatives through proportional representation. The state is segmented into six districts, each guaranteed a fixed number of mandates based on population (e.g., Salzburg City secures 9 seats, Lungau 2). This structure ensures equitable representation for the mountainous regions, balancing their influence against the more densely populated central area.

Electoral Thresholds

Salzburg mandates a 5% electoral threshold for parties to enter the Landtag. This relatively high barrier aims to consolidate the party landscape. However, securing a basic mandate in a district can serve as a "door-opener," even if a party falls short of the 5% statewide.

Government Formation and Traditions

Salzburg's political landscape favors flexible coalition-building. Following elections, exploratory talks commence to forge a majority of at least 19 seats. Notably, Salzburg pioneered the "Dirndl-Koalition" (a three-party alliance of ÖVP, Greens, and NEOS) at the state level, underscoring the region's willingness to experiment in forming governing majorities.

Coalition Calculator

Which parties could form a stable majority?

Data Sources and Methodology

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