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Salzburg Peter Hajek: election poll for the State election in Salzburg from 18 March 2023

Strongest Force
8.0 points ahead of FPÖ
Government Majority
Stable Majority
23 of 36 seats in the Election Trend
Election year
2028
estimated

Voting intention poll for the State election in Salzburg

The bars show the results of this single poll; the chips show the change compared to the last election. Peter Hajek: single poll for the State election in Salzburg, fieldwork ended 16 March 2023.

Changes since the last election on 22 April 2018

33.0
-4.8
25.0
+6.2
17.0
-3.0
9.0
-0.3
7.0
-0.3
6.0
+5.6
2.0
+2.0
MFG
1.0
+1.0
Institute
Peter Hajek
Client
Salzburger Nachrichten
Survey Period
09/03/2023 – 16/03/2023
Respondents
800
Governing coalition in Salzburg holds a stable majority

Based on this poll, the parties currently in government would win 63.9% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading according to the poll by Peter Hajek?

A recent voting intention poll for Salzburg by Peter Hajek shows ÖVP leading with 33%, followed by FPÖ with 25%, SPÖ with 17%, GRÜNE with 9%, NEOS with 7%, KPÖ with 6%, Wir sind Salzburg with 2% and MFG with 1%.

What do the symbols mean?

To make parties comparable, we indicate their political orientation with symbols. These categories provide a rough classification for a quick overview. More detailed information on political stances can be found on the parties' subpages.

  • Far-Left
  • Left
  • Centre-Left
  • Center
  • Transversal
  • Unknown
  • Centre-Right
  • Right
  • Far-Right
  • Liberal
  • Environment & Climate
  • Regional
  • Animal Welfare
  • Satire

Seat projection based on this poll

Peter Hajek: how reliable is the projection?

71 PolitPro Score Rank 9 of 11 in Salzburg
Score from 0 to 100 Avg. all polling institutes: 77.4
Avg. deviation in elections
2.4 pp

2 election comparisons

Recorded polls
34

Last on 17 March 2026

Deviations from the Election Trend

Party often overestimated Party often underestimated

What is the PolitPro Score for polling institutes?

In the PolitPro Score for polling institutes, we assess the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and their deviation from the Election Trend. Significant deviations in party values compared to the Election Trend lead to deductions, as they can indicate favoritism or disadvantage for parties. The score has a maximum value of 100.

Coalition calculator: majorities based on this poll

0
19
0 36
Majority 19

Parties

Select parties to test coalitions.

Scenarios: What if...?

Select all parties near the electoral threshold that should enter parliament. electoral threshold at 5%.

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Peter Hajek: Projected composition of parliament

Based on this poll, 6 parties would clear the electoral threshold and enter the parliament of Salzburg: ÖVP with 13 seats, FPÖ with 10 seats, SPÖ with 6 seats, GRÜNE with 3 seats, NEOS with 2 seats and KPÖ with 2 seats.

Salzburg's Electoral System Explained

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Electoral Threshold and Hurdles

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Government formation and coalition traditions

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