Latest Opinion Poll for the Election in Saxony-Anhalt (INSA, November 30, 2020)

November 23, 2020 - November 30, 2020

1079 respondents

Next General election in Saxony-Anhalt: September 6, 2026

The next General election in Saxony-Anhalt takes place in 198 days.

Incumbent Government in Saxony-Anhalt Without a Majority

Based on the INSA projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 43.4% of the parliamentary seats.

Who is leading in the latest poll from INSA?

A recent opinion poll for the Saxe-Anhalt election, released by INSA on November 30, 2020, places CDU in the lead with 29%. Following closely are AfD: 23%, Die Linke: 17%, Grüne: 10%, SPD: 10% and FDP: 4%. Other parties secure 7% of the votes.

Current Election Trend: Saxony-Anhalt
Poll results, coalitions, and election data
All Election Polls
Latest surveys from all institutes and historical data
What do the parties stand for?
Information, comparisons, and data on parties in Saxony-Anhalt

Quality Check: How Reliable is the INSA Projection?

84

PolitPro Score

INSA achieved a PolitPro Score of 84 out of 100.

1.5

Election Accuracy

On average, INSA's figures deviate by 1.5 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.

INSA at a Glance
Polling data, historical accuracy, and party bias
Which institutes are the most reliable?
Election accuracy and methodological reliability

Potential Majorities and Coalition Scenarios

83
Majority requires 42 seats

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the Landtag election in Saxony-Anhalt is 5%.

CDU + AfD
Right
59.0%
CDU + Grüne + SPD
Centre
54.2%
CDU + Die Linke
Centre
51.8%
AfD + Die Linke
Centre-Right
45.8%
CDU + Grüne
Centre
43.4%
CDU + SPD
Centre-Right
43.4%

Projected Parliamentary Composition (Source: INSA)

According to data from INSA, 5 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter the Saxony-Anhalt parliament: CDU with 27 representatives, AfD with 22 representatives, Die Linke with 16 representatives, Grüne with 9 representatives and SPD with 9 representatives.

The Electoral System in Saxony-Anhalt

In Saxony-Anhalt, voters cast two ballots to determine at least 87 seats in the Landtag. The system employs classic personalized proportional representation, designed to foster a stable parliamentary majority while ensuring strong regional ties through 41 directly elected constituency representatives.

Electoral Thresholds

Saxony-Anhalt rigorously enforces a five-percent electoral threshold, shaping a distinct party landscape in Magdeburg. This hurdle significantly challenges smaller parties, as the state lacks a basic mandate clause that could translate local victories into Landtag seats.

Government Formation and Traditions

Saxony-Anhalt gained national attention for pioneering Germany's first 'Kenya Coalition' (CDU, SPD, Greens), later followed by a 'Germany Coalition' (CDU, SPD, FDP). Government formation often proves a laborious process for centrist parties, aiming to forge a stable front against the formidable AfD opposition.

Coalition Calculator
Which parties could form a stable majority?

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

PolitPro bridges the gap between scientific research and current polling. We supplement leading datasets with our own proprietary research and algorithms to make complex political contexts tangible and accessible. Powered by AI.

Found a Mistake?

Political data is constantly evolving. If you spot an error, please let us know. A brief reference to your source will help us verify and update the information.