Saxony-Anhalt: Poll by INSA from 11.06.2024

Saxony-Anhalt: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
CDU
31.0
-1.0
AfD
30.0
+1.0
BSW
13.0
+3.0
SPD
7.0
-1.0
Linke
5.0
±0.0
FDP
4.0
±0.0
Grüne
4.0
-1.0
Others
6.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 06.06.2021
CDU
-6.1
AfD
+9.2
BSW
New
SPD
-1.4
Linke
-6.0
FDP
-2.4
Grüne
-1.9
INSA – 1000 respondents – 03.06.2024-11.06.2024

Next election: 2026

The next parliamentary election in Saxony-Anhalt is expected to take place in 2026.

Institute often rates BSW higher

In 41% of election polls, INSA rates BSW higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 35% of election polls INSA rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Saxony-Anhalt - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Saxony-Anhalt from INSA shows the following results: CDU 31%, AfD 30%, BSW 13%, SPD 7%, Die Linke 5%, FDP 4% and Grüne 4%. If an election were held in Saxony-Anhalt this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.2 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Reiner Haseloff is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU, FDP and SPD. With 44.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (03.06.2024 - 11.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

83
Majority requires 42 seats
Linke
5
6%
SPD
7
8.4%
BSW
12
14.5%
CDU
30
36.1%
AfD
29
34.9%
CDU + AfD
71.1%
AfD + BSW + Die Linke
55.4%
CDU + BSW
50.6%
AfD + BSW
49.4%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Saxony-Anhalt was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 03.06.2024 and 11.06.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 31%, AfD 30%, BSW 13%, SPD 7%, Die Linke 5%, FDP 4% and Grüne 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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