Official Final Results of the Saxony State Election

General election in Saxony 2019

Saxony State Election Results: September 1, 2019

Electoral Threshold

The electoral threshold for the Saxony state election is 5%.

Voter Turnout

Voter turnout was 66.6%.

Current Election Trend in Saxony
Poll results, coalitions, and election data
Historical Elections: Saxony
Results, coalitions, and historical data

Seat Distribution and Mathematical Majorities

119
Majority requires 60 seats

The current government loses its majority

The incumbent governing parties secured 46.2% of the seats.

CDU + AfD
Right
69.7%
CDU + Grüne + SPD
Centre
56.3%
CDU + Die Linke
Centre-Right
49.6%
CDU + Grüne
Centre-Right
47.9%
CDU + SPD
Centre-Right
46.2%
AfD + Die Linke
Right
43.7%

Governments of the Current Legislative Period

Kretschmer II
2019
CDU
Grüne
SPD
Historical Government Cabinets in Saxony
Cabinets and governing parties since 1945

Polling Accuracy: How Precise Were the Forecasts?

Comparison: Pre-Election Polls vs. Actual Election Results

1.73

Forschungsgruppe Wahlen

The final poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen deviated by an average of 1.73 percentage points per party from the actual Saxony state election results.
  • CDU
    -0.1
  • AfD
    -3.0
  • Linke
    +3.6
  • Grüne
    +2.4
  • SPD
    +0.8
  • FDP
    +0.5
2.00

INSA

The final poll by INSA deviated by an average of 2.00 percentage points per party from the actual Saxony state election results.
  • CDU
    -3.1
  • AfD
    -2.5
  • Linke
    +4.6
  • Grüne
    +2.4
  • SPD
    +0.3
  • FDP
    +0.5
  • FW
    +0.6
2.20

Infratest dimap

The final poll by Infratest dimap deviated by an average of 2.20 percentage points per party from the actual Saxony state election results.
  • CDU
    -2.1
  • AfD
    -3.5
  • Linke
    +5.6
  • Grüne
    +2.4
  • SPD
    -0.7
  • FDP
    +0.5
  • FW
    +0.6
2.40

IM Field

The final poll by IM Field deviated by an average of 2.40 percentage points per party from the actual Saxony state election results.
  • CDU
    -4.1
  • AfD
    -1.5
  • Linke
    +5.6
  • Grüne
    +4.4
  • SPD
    +0.3
  • FDP
    +0.5
  • FW
    -0.4
2.50

Civey

The final poll by Civey deviated by an average of 2.50 percentage points per party from the actual Saxony state election results.
  • CDU
    -3.1
  • AfD
    -2.6
  • Linke
    +4.6
  • Grüne
    +2.3
  • SPD
    +1.2
  • FDP
    +1.2

Party Results: Vote Shares and Gains/Losses

CDU

Christian Democratic Union
Christian Democratic
Pro-European
32.1
-7.3

AfD

Alternative for Germany
Right-wing Populist
Eurosceptic
27.5
+17.8

Die Linke

The Left
Left-wing
10.4
-8.5

Grüne

Alliance 90 / The Greens
Green
Centre-Left
Pro-European
8.6
+2.9

SPD

Social Democratic Party of Germany
Social Democratic
Pro-European
7.7
-4.7

FDP

Free Democratic Party
Liberal
Pro-European
4.5
+0.7

Freie Wähler

Free Voters
Conservative
3.4
+1.8

Die PARTEI

The PARTY
Satire
Left
Eurosceptic
1.5
+0.8

Tierschutzpartei

Animal Protection Party
Animal Welfare
Left
1.5
+0.4

Die Heimat

National Democratic Party of Germany
Right-wing Populist
Eurosceptic
0.6
-4.3

Partei für Verjüngungsforschung

Party for Rejuvenation Research
Transversal
0.5
+0.5

Die blaue Partei

The Blue Party
Unknown
0.4
+0.4

ÖDP

Ecological Democratic Party
Green
Centre-Right
0.3
+0.3

Piratenpartei

Pirate Party Germany
Centre-Left
Pro-European
0.3
-0.8

Aufbruch deutscher Patrioten

Awakening of German Patriots - Central Germany
Regional
Far-Right
0.2
+0.2

Partei der Humanisten

Party of Humanists
Unknown
0.2
+0.2

KPD

Communist Party of Germany
Left-wing
Eurosceptic
0.1
+0.1

Partei der Vernunft

Party of Reason
Liberal
Right
0.1
+0.1

Bürgerrechtsbewegung Solidarität

Civil Rights Movement Solidarity
Transversal
0.1
-0.1

Data Sources and Methodology

PolitPro

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ParlGov – Parliamentary Democracy Data

A comprehensive research database from the University of Bremen, documenting parties, elections, and governments for comparative analysis.

Additional Sources

Döring, Holger and Philip Manow. 2024. Parliaments and governments database (ParlGov).

CHES – Chapel Hill Expert Survey

The leading expert survey on party positions in Europe. Over 400 political scientists document party stances based on rigorous scientific criteria.

Additional Sources

Rovny, Jan, et al. “25 Years of Political Party Positions in Europe: The Chapel Hill Expert Survey, 1999-2024.”