Saxony: Poll by INSA from 02.07.2020

Saxony: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
CDU
36.0
+7.0
AfD
26.0
+1.0
Linke
11.0
-4.0
Grüne
10.0
-1.0
SPD
7.0
-1.0
FDP
4.0
-1.0
Others
6.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 01.09.2024
CDU
+4.1
AfD
-4.6
Linke
+6.5
Grüne
+4.9
SPD
-0.3
FDP
+3.1
INSA – 1020 respondents – 29.06.2020-02.07.2020

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Saxony is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 35% of election polls INSA rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Saxony - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Saxony from INSA shows the following results: CDU 36%, AfD 26%, Die Linke 11%, Grüne 10%, SPD 7% and FDP 4%. If an election were held in Saxony this Sunday, Die Linke might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.5 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Michael Kretschmer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU and SPD. With 47.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1020 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (29.06.2020 - 02.07.2020).

Coalition possibilities

120
Majority requires 61 seats
Linke
15
12.5%
SPD
9
7.5%
Grüne
13
10.8%
CDU
48
40%
AfD
35
29.2%
CDU + AfD
69.2%
CDU + Die Linke
52.5%
CDU + Grüne
50.8%
CDU + SPD
47.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Saxony was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 29.06.2020 and 02.07.2020 among 1020 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 36%, AfD 26%, Die Linke 11%, Grüne 10%, SPD 7% and FDP 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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