Saxony
Election trend
Parties
Upcoming elections:
Hamburg
Germany

Saxony: Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen from 29.08.2019

Polling data

CDU
32.0
+1.0
AfD
24.5
-0.5
Linke
14.0
±0.0
Grüne
11.0
+1.0
SPD
8.5
-0.5
FDP
5.0
±0.0
Sonst.
5.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 01.09.2024
CDU
+0.1
AfD
-6.1
Linke
+9.5
Grüne
+5.9
SPD
+1.2
FDP
+4.1
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen – 1657 respondents – 26.08.2019-29.08.2019

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Saxony is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Grüne higher

In 38% of election polls, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen rates Grüne higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Saxony - The latest poll for the State election in Saxony from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen shows the following results: CDU 32%, AfD 24.5%, Die Linke 14%, Grüne 11%, SPD 8.5% and FDP 5%. If an election were held in Saxony this Sunday, Die Linke might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.5 growth since the last election. AfD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-6.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Michael Kretschmer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne, CDU and SPD. With 54.2% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. For this purpose, 1657 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (26.08.2019 - 29.08.2019).

Coalition possibilities

120
Linke
18
SPD
11
Grüne
14
FDP
6
CDU
40
AfD
31
Majority requires 61 seats
CDU + Die Linke + Grüne + SPD
83
CDU + AfD
71
CDU + Grüne + SPD
65
CDU + Grüne + FDP
60
CDU + SPD + FDP
57
CDU + Grüne
54

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Saxony was conducted by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. The survey took place between 26.08.2019 and 29.08.2019 among 1657 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 32%, AfD 24.5%, Die Linke 14%, Grüne 11%, SPD 8.5% and FDP 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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