Saxony: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 12.10.2021

Saxony: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
AfD
25.5
±0.0
CDU
22.0
±0.0
SPD
19.0
±0.0
FDP
10.0
±0.0
Grüne
9.0
±0.0
Linke
7.0
±0.0
Others
7.5
±0.0
Development since the last election on 01.09.2024
AfD
-5.1
CDU
-9.9
SPD
+11.7
FDP
+9.1
Grüne
+3.9
Linke
+2.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1002 respondents – 05.10.2021-12.10.2021

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Saxony is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Saxony - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Saxony from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: AfD 25.5%, CDU 22%, SPD 19%, FDP 10%, Grüne 9% and Die Linke 7%. If an election were held in Saxony this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +11.7 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-9.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Michael Kretschmer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU and SPD. With 44.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1002 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (05.10.2021 - 12.10.2021).

Coalition possibilities

120
Majority requires 61 seats
Linke
9
7.5%
SPD
25
20.8%
Grüne
12
10%
FDP
13
10.8%
CDU
28
23.3%
AfD
33
27.5%
CDU + SPD + FDP
55.0%
CDU + SPD + Grüne
54.2%
AfD + CDU
50.8%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Saxony was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 05.10.2021 and 12.10.2021 among 1002 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 25.5%, CDU 22%, SPD 19%, FDP 10%, Grüne 9% and Die Linke 7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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