Saxony: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 16.05.2022

Polling data

CDU
33.0
+4.0
AfD
27.0
+0.5
SPD
12.0
-3.0
Grüne
9.5
+0.5
Linke
5.5
-0.5
FDP
4.0
-1.0
Sonst.
9.0
-0.5
Development since the last election on 01.09.2019
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1023 respondents – 09.05.2022-16.05.2022
Next election: 01.09.2024
The next general election in Saxony will be held in 135.

Election poll results

Saxony - The latest poll for the State election in Saxony from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: CDU 33%, AfD 27%, SPD 12%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 9.5%, Die Linke 5.5% and FDP 4%. If an election were held in Saxony this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.3 growth since the last election. Die Linke, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Michael Kretschmer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, CDU and SPD. With 62.6% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1023 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (09.05.2022 - 16.05.2022).

Coalition possibilities

120
Linke
8
SPD
17
Grüne
13
CDU
45
AfD
37
Majority requires 61 seats
CDU + AfD
82
CDU + SPD
62
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
58

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Saxony was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 09.05.2022 and 16.05.2022 among 1023 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 33%, AfD 27%, SPD 12%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 9.5%, Die Linke 5.5% and FDP 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.