Saxony
Election trend
Parties

Saxony: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 20.12.2022

Polling data

AfD
31.0
+1.0
CDU
29.5
-4.5
SPD
10.5
+3.5
Grüne
9.5
+2.5
Linke
8.0
-2.0
FDP
3.5
+0.5
Sonst.
8.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 01.09.2019
AfD
+3.5
CDU
-2.6
SPD
+2.8
Grüne
+0.9
Linke
-2.4
FDP
-1.0
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1020 respondents – 18.12.2022-20.12.2022
Next election: 01.09.2024
The next general election in Saxony will be held in 130.

Election poll results

Saxony - The latest poll for the State election in Saxony from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: AfD 31%, CDU 29.5%, SPD 10.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 9.5%, Die Linke 8% and FDP 3.5%. If an election were held in Saxony this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.5 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Michael Kretschmer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, CDU and SPD. With 55.9% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1020 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (18.12.2022 - 20.12.2022).

Coalition possibilities

120
Linke
11
SPD
14
Grüne
13
CDU
40
AfD
42
Majority requires 61 seats
AfD + CDU
82
CDU + SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
67
CDU + SPD
54

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Saxony was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 18.12.2022 and 20.12.2022 among 1020 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 31%, CDU 29.5%, SPD 10.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 9.5%, Die Linke 8% and FDP 3.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.