Saxony: Poll by Civey from 05.02.2023

Polling data

CDU
29.0
+1.7
AfD
29.0
-0.6
Grüne
10.0
-2.0
Linke
9.0
-0.6
SPD
9.0
+1.7
FDP
4.0
-2.9
Others
10.0
+2.7
Development since the last election on 01.09.2024
CDU
-2.9
AfD
-1.6
Grüne
+4.9
Linke
+4.5
SPD
+1.7
FDP
+3.1
Civey – 2400 respondents – 22.01.2023-05.02.2023

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Saxony is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Saxony - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Saxony from Civey shows the following results: CDU 29%, AfD 29%, Grüne 10%, Die Linke 9%, SPD 9% and FDP 4%. If an election were held in Saxony this Sunday, Grüne might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.9 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Michael Kretschmer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU and SPD. With 44.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Civey. For this purpose, 2400 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 14 days (22.01.2023 - 05.02.2023).

Coalition possibilities

120
Majority requires 61 seats
Linke
13
10.8%
SPD
13
10.8%
Grüne
14
11.7%
CDU
40
33.3%
AfD
40
33.3%
AfD + CDU
66.7%
CDU + Grüne + Die Linke + SPD
66.7%
CDU + Grüne + SPD
55.8%
CDU + Grüne
45.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Saxony was conducted by Civey. The survey took place between 22.01.2023 and 05.02.2023 among 2400 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 29%, AfD 29%, Grüne 10%, Die Linke 9%, SPD 9% and FDP 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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