Saxony
Election trend
Parties

Saxony: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 28.05.2023

Polling data

AfD
32.0
+1.0
CDU
31.0
+1.5
Linke
9.5
+1.5
SPD
9.5
-1.0
Grüne
7.0
-2.5
FDP
4.0
+0.5
Sonst.
7.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 01.09.2019
AfD
+4.5
CDU
-1.1
Linke
-0.9
SPD
+1.8
Grüne
-1.6
FDP
-0.5
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 987 respondents – 16.05.2023-28.05.2023
Next election: 01.09.2024
The next general election in Saxony will be held in 134.

Election poll results

Saxony - The latest poll for the State election in Saxony from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: AfD 32%, CDU 31%, Die Linke 9.5%, SPD 9.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 7% and FDP 4%. If an election were held in Saxony this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.5 growth since the last election. Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Michael Kretschmer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, CDU and SPD. With 53.4% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 987 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 12 days (16.05.2023 - 28.05.2023).

Coalition possibilities

120
Linke
13
SPD
13
Grüne
9
CDU
42
AfD
43
Majority requires 61 seats
AfD + CDU
85
CDU + SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
64
CDU + SPD
55

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Saxony was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 16.05.2023 and 28.05.2023 among 987 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 32%, CDU 31%, Die Linke 9.5%, SPD 9.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 7% and FDP 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.