Saxony: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 12.06.2023

Polling data

AfD
32.5
+0.5
CDU
30.0
-1.0
SPD
10.0
+0.5
Linke
9.0
-0.5
Grüne
7.0
±0.0
FDP
5.0
+1.0
Others
6.5
-0.5
Development since the last election on 01.09.2024
AfD
+1.9
CDU
-1.9
SPD
+2.7
Linke
+4.5
Grüne
+1.9
FDP
+4.1
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1558 respondents – 08.06.2023-12.06.2023

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Saxony is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Saxony - The latest poll for the State election in Saxony from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: AfD 32.5%, CDU 30%, SPD 10%, Die Linke 9%, Grüne 7% and FDP 5%. If an election were held in Saxony this Sunday, Die Linke might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.5 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Michael Kretschmer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne, CDU and SPD. With 50.3% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1558 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (08.06.2023 - 12.06.2023).

Coalition possibilities

120
Majority requires 61 seats
Linke
12
9.6%
SPD
13
10.7%
Grüne
9
7.5%
FDP
6
5.3%
CDU
38
32.1%
AfD
42
34.8%
AfD + CDU
66.7%
CDU + SPD + Die Linke + Grüne
60.0%
CDU + SPD + Grüne + FDP
55.0%
CDU + SPD + Grüne
50.0%
CDU + SPD + FDP
47.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Saxony was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 08.06.2023 and 12.06.2023 among 1558 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 32.5%, CDU 30%, SPD 10%, Die Linke 9%, Grüne 7% and FDP 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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