Saxony
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Elections

Saxony: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 07.11.2023

Polling data

AfD
32.5
±0.0
CDU
28.5
-1.5
SPD
8.5
-1.5
Linke
7.5
-1.5
Grüne
5.5
-1.5
FDP
4.0
-1.0
PARTEI
2.5
+2.5
Frei
2.5
+2.5
Tier
2.5
+2.5
FW
2.0
+2.0
Sonst.
4.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 01.09.2019
AfD
+5.0
CDU
-3.6
SPD
+0.8
Linke
-2.9
Grüne
-3.1
FDP
-0.5
PARTEI
+1.0
Frei
Tier
+1.0
FW
-1.4
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1173 respondents – 31.10.2023-07.11.2023
Next election: 01.09.2024
The next general election in Saxony will be held in 268.

Election poll results

Saxony - The latest poll for the State election in Saxony from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: AfD 32.5%, CDU 28.5%, SPD 8.5%, Die Linke 7.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 5.5%, FDP 4%, Die PARTEI 2.5%, Freie Sachsen – Allianz unabhängiger Wähler 2.5%, Tierschutzpartei 2.5% and Freie Wähler 2%. If an election were held in Saxony this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.0 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Michael Kretschmer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen, CDU and SPD. With 51.5% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1173 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (31.10.2023 - 07.11.2023).

Coalition possibilities

CDU + SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
51.5
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
41.2
SPD + Die Linke + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
26.1

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in website.de-sn was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 31.10.2023 and 07.11.2023 among 1173 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 32.5%, CDU 28.5%, SPD 8.5%, Die Linke 7.5%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 5.5%, FDP 4%, Die PARTEI 2.5%, Freie Sachsen – Allianz unabhängiger Wähler 2.5%, Tierschutzpartei 2.5% and Freie Wähler 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the survey method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.