Saxony: Poll by Forsa from 10.01.2024

Saxony: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
AfD
34.0
±0.0
CDU
30.0
±0.0
Grüne
8.0
±0.0
SPD
7.0
±0.0
Linke
6.0
±0.0
BSW
4.0
±0.0
FDP
3.0
±0.0
FW
3.0
±0.0
Others
5.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 01.09.2024
AfD
+3.4
CDU
-1.9
Grüne
+2.9
SPD
-0.3
Linke
+1.5
BSW
-7.8
FDP
+2.1
FW
+0.7
Forsa – 1507 respondents – 07.01.2024-10.01.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Saxony is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates AfD lower

In 35% of election polls Forsa rates AfD lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates BSW lower

In 43% of election polls Forsa rates BSW lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Saxony - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Saxony from Forsa shows the following results: AfD 34%, CDU 30%, Grüne 8%, SPD 7%, Die Linke 6%, BSW 4%, FDP 3% and Freie Wähler 3%. If an election were held in Saxony this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.4 growth since the last election. BSW, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Michael Kretschmer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU and SPD. With 43.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forsa. For this purpose, 1507 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (07.01.2024 - 10.01.2024).

Coalition possibilities

120
Majority requires 61 seats
Linke
9
7.5%
SPD
10
8.3%
Grüne
11
9.2%
CDU
42
35%
AfD
48
40%
AfD + CDU
75.0%
CDU + Grüne + SPD
52.5%
AfD + Die Linke
47.5%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Saxony was conducted by Forsa. The survey took place between 07.01.2024 and 10.01.2024 among 1507 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 34%, CDU 30%, Grüne 8%, SPD 7%, Die Linke 6%, BSW 4%, FDP 3% and Freie Wähler 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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