Saxony: Poll by INSA from 18.03.2024

Polling data

AfD
34.0
-1.0
CDU
30.0
+1.0
BSW
11.0
+11.0
SPD
6.0
-1.0
Linke
5.0
-4.0
Grüne
5.0
-1.0
FW
3.0
+3.0
FDP
2.0
-3.0
Others
4.0
-5.0
Development since the last election on 01.09.2024
AfD
+3.4
CDU
-1.9
BSW
-0.8
SPD
-1.3
Linke
+0.5
Grüne
-0.1
FW
+0.7
FDP
+1.1
INSA – 1000 respondents – 11.03.2024-18.03.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Saxony is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Saxony - The latest poll for the State election in Saxony from INSA shows the following results: AfD 34%, CDU 30%, BSW 11%, SPD 6%, Die Linke 5%, Grüne 5%, Freie Wähler 3% and FDP 2%. If an election were held in Saxony this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.4 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Michael Kretschmer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne, CDU and SPD. With 45.1% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (11.03.2024 - 18.03.2024).

Coalition possibilities

120
Majority requires 61 seats
Linke
7
5.5%
SPD
8
6.6%
Grüne
7
5.5%
BSW
14
12.1%
CDU
39
33%
AfD
45
37.4%
AfD + CDU
70.0%
AfD + BSW + Die Linke
55.0%
CDU + BSW + SPD
50.8%
CDU + SPD + Grüne + Die Linke
50.8%
CDU + BSW + Grüne
50.0%
CDU + BSW + Die Linke
50.0%
AfD + BSW
49.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Saxony was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 11.03.2024 and 18.03.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 34%, CDU 30%, BSW 11%, SPD 6%, Die Linke 5%, Grüne 5%, Freie Wähler 3% and FDP 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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