Saxony: Poll by INSA from 17.06.2024

Polling data

AfD
32.0
-2.0
CDU
30.0
±0.0
BSW
15.0
+4.0
Grüne
5.0
±0.0
SPD
5.0
-1.0
Linke
4.0
-1.0
FDP
2.0
±0.0
Others
7.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 01.09.2024
AfD
+1.4
CDU
-1.9
BSW
+3.2
Grüne
-0.1
SPD
-2.3
Linke
-0.5
FDP
+1.1
INSA – 1500 respondents – 10.06.2024-17.06.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Saxony is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates BSW higher

In 40% of election polls, INSA rates BSW higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 35% of election polls INSA rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Saxony - The latest poll for the State election in Saxony from INSA shows the following results: AfD 32%, CDU 30%, BSW 15%, Grüne 5%, SPD 5%, Die Linke 4% and FDP 2%. If an election were held in Saxony this Sunday, BSW might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.2 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Michael Kretschmer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne, CDU and SPD. With 45.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1500 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (10.06.2024 - 17.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

120
Majority requires 61 seats
SPD
7
5.7%
Grüne
7
5.7%
BSW
21
17.2%
CDU
41
34.5%
AfD
44
36.8%
AfD + CDU
70.8%
AfD + BSW
54.2%
CDU + BSW
51.7%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Saxony was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 10.06.2024 and 17.06.2024 among 1500 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 32%, CDU 30%, BSW 15%, Grüne 5%, SPD 5%, Die Linke 4% and FDP 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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