Saxony: Poll by Infratest dimap from 18.06.2024

Saxony: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
AfD
30.0
-5.0
CDU
29.0
-1.0
BSW
15.0
+7.0
Grüne
7.0
±0.0
SPD
7.0
±0.0
Linke
3.0
-1.0
Others
9.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 01.09.2024
AfD
-0.6
CDU
-2.9
BSW
+3.2
Grüne
+1.9
SPD
-0.3
Linke
-1.5
Infratest dimap – 1157 respondents – 12.06.2024-18.06.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Saxony is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Saxony - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Saxony from Infratest dimap shows the following results: AfD 30%, CDU 29%, BSW 15%, Grüne 7%, SPD 7% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in Saxony this Sunday, BSW might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.2 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-2.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Michael Kretschmer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU and SPD. With 40.8% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Infratest dimap. For this purpose, 1157 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (12.06.2024 - 18.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

120
Majority requires 61 seats
SPD
10
8.3%
Grüne
10
8.3%
BSW
20
16.7%
CDU
39
32.5%
AfD
41
34.2%
AfD + CDU
66.7%
CDU + BSW + SPD
57.5%
CDU + BSW + Grüne
57.5%
AfD + BSW
50.8%
CDU + Grüne + SPD
49.2%
CDU + BSW
49.2%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Saxony was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 12.06.2024 and 18.06.2024 among 1157 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 30%, CDU 29%, BSW 15%, Grüne 7%, SPD 7% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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