Saxony: Poll by Infratest dimap from 22.08.2024

Saxony: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
CDU
31.0
+2.0
AfD
30.0
±0.0
BSW
14.0
-1.0
SPD
7.0
±0.0
Grüne
6.0
-1.0
Linke
4.0
+1.0
Others
8.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 01.09.2024
CDU
-0.9
AfD
-0.6
BSW
+2.2
SPD
-0.3
Grüne
+0.9
Linke
-0.5
Infratest dimap – 1566 respondents – 19.08.2024-22.08.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Saxony is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Saxony - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Saxony from Infratest dimap shows the following results: CDU 31%, AfD 30%, BSW 14%, SPD 7%, Grüne 6% and Die Linke 4%. If an election were held in Saxony this Sunday, BSW might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.2 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-0.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Michael Kretschmer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU and SPD. With 43.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Infratest dimap. For this purpose, 1566 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (19.08.2024 - 22.08.2024).

Coalition possibilities

120
Majority requires 61 seats
SPD
10
8.3%
Grüne
8
6.7%
BSW
19
15.8%
CDU
42
35%
AfD
41
34.2%
CDU + AfD
69.2%
CDU + BSW
50.8%
CDU + SPD + Grüne
50.0%
AfD + BSW
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Saxony was conducted by Infratest dimap. The survey took place between 19.08.2024 and 22.08.2024 among 1566 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 31%, AfD 30%, BSW 14%, SPD 7%, Grüne 6% and Die Linke 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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