Saxony: Poll by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen from 29.08.2024

Polling data

CDU
33.0
±0.0
AfD
30.0
±0.0
BSW
12.0
+1.0
Grüne
6.0
±0.0
SPD
6.0
-1.0
Linke
4.0
±0.0
Others
9.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 01.09.2024
CDU
+1.1
AfD
-0.6
BSW
+0.2
Grüne
+0.9
SPD
-1.3
Linke
-0.5
Forschungsgruppe Wahlen – 1973 respondents – 26.08.2024-29.08.2024

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Saxony is expected to take place in 2029.

Institute often rates Grüne higher

In 38% of election polls, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen rates Grüne higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Saxony - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Saxony from Forschungsgruppe Wahlen shows the following results: CDU 33%, AfD 30%, BSW 12%, Grüne 6%, SPD 6% and Die Linke 4%. If an election were held in Saxony this Sunday, CDU might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.1 growth since the last election. SPD, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Michael Kretschmer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU and SPD. With 45.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. For this purpose, 1973 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (26.08.2024 - 29.08.2024).

Coalition possibilities

120
Majority requires 61 seats
SPD
8
6.7%
Grüne
8
6.7%
BSW
17
14.2%
CDU
46
38.3%
AfD
41
34.2%
CDU + AfD
72.5%
CDU + BSW
52.5%
CDU + Grüne + SPD
51.7%
CDU + Grüne
45.0%
CDU + SPD
45.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Saxony was conducted by Forschungsgruppe Wahlen. The survey took place between 26.08.2024 and 29.08.2024 among 1973 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 33%, AfD 30%, BSW 12%, Grüne 6%, SPD 6% and Die Linke 4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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