Saxony: Poll by Civey from 06.01.2025

Polling data

AfD
36.0
+6.0
CDU
32.0
+1.0
BSW
7.0
-3.0
Grüne
7.0
+1.0
SPD
5.0
-1.0
Linke
4.0
-1.0
FDP
2.0
-1.0
FW
2.0
-1.0
Others
5.0
-1.0
Civey – 2501 respondents – 23.12.2024-06.01.2025

Next election: 2029

The next parliamentary election in Saxony is expected to take place in 2029.

Election poll results

Saxony - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Saxony from Civey shows the following results: AfD 36%, CDU 32%, BSW 7%, Grüne 7%, SPD 5%, Die Linke 4%, FDP 2% and Freie Wähler 2%. If an election were held in Saxony this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.4 growth since the last election. BSW, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Michael Kretschmer is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from CDU and SPD. With 42.5% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Civey. For this purpose, 2501 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 14 days (23.12.2024 - 06.01.2025).

Coalition possibilities

120
Majority requires 61 seats
SPD
7
5.8%
Grüne
10
8.3%
BSW
10
8.3%
CDU
44
36.7%
AfD
49
40.8%
AfD + CDU
77.5%
CDU + Grüne + BSW
53.3%
CDU + Grüne + SPD
50.8%
CDU + BSW + SPD
50.8%
AfD + BSW
49.2%
CDU + Grüne
45.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Saxony was conducted by Civey. The survey took place between 23.12.2024 and 06.01.2025 among 2501 eligible voters. After this election poll would get AfD 36%, CDU 32%, BSW 7%, Grüne 7%, SPD 5%, Die Linke 4%, FDP 2% and Freie Wähler 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.