Schleswig-Holstein
Election trend
Parties

Schleswig-Holstein: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 27.01.2022

Polling data

CDU
31.0
+7.0
SPD
25.0
-4.0
Grüne
17.0
-3.0
FDP
8.0
-4.5
AfD
6.0
+2.0
SSW
5.5
+1.0
Linke
2.0
±0.0
Sonst.
5.5
+1.5
Development since the last election on 08.05.2022
CDU
-12.4
SPD
+9.0
Grüne
-1.3
FDP
+1.6
AfD
+1.6
SSW
-0.2
Linke
+0.3
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 1390 respondents – 19.01.2022-27.01.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Schleswig-Holstein is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Schleswig-Holstein - The latest poll for the State election in Schleswig-Holstein from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: CDU 31%, SPD 25%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 17%, FDP 8%, AfD 6%, Südschleswigscher Wählerverband 5.5% and Die Linke 2%. If an election were held in Schleswig-Holstein this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +9.0 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-12.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Daniel Günther is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and CDU. With 51.9% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 1390 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (19.01.2022 - 27.01.2022).

Coalition possibilities

69
SPD
19
Grüne
13
SSW
4
FDP
6
CDU
23
AfD
4
Majority requires 35 seats
CDU + SPD
42
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
38
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
36
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + Südschleswigscher Wählerverband
36
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
32

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Schleswig-Holstein was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 19.01.2022 and 27.01.2022 among 1390 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 31%, SPD 25%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 17%, FDP 8%, AfD 6%, Südschleswigscher Wählerverband 5.5% and Die Linke 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.