Schleswig-Holstein
Election trend
Parties

Schleswig-Holstein: Poll by INSA from 28.03.2022

Polling data

CDU
28.0
+3.0
SPD
27.0
-1.0
Grüne
16.0
+1.0
FDP
11.0
-1.0
AfD
6.0
-1.0
SSW
4.0
+1.0
Linke
3.0
-1.0
FW
2.0
-1.0
Sonst.
3.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 08.05.2022
CDU
-15.4
SPD
+11.0
Grüne
-2.3
FDP
+4.6
AfD
+1.6
SSW
-1.7
Linke
+1.3
FW
+1.4
INSA – 1008 respondents – 21.03.2022-28.03.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Schleswig-Holstein is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower
In 35% of election polls INSA rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Schleswig-Holstein - The latest poll for the State election in Schleswig-Holstein from INSA shows the following results: CDU 28%, SPD 27%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 16%, FDP 11%, AfD 6%, Südschleswigscher Wählerverband 4%, Die Linke 3% and Freie Wähler 2%. If an election were held in Schleswig-Holstein this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +11.0 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-15.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Daniel Günther is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and CDU. With 50.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1008 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (21.03.2022 - 28.03.2022).

Coalition possibilities

69
SPD
22
Grüne
13
FDP
8
CDU
22
AfD
4
Majority requires 35 seats
CDU + SPD
44
CDU + FDP + AfD
34
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
35
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
35

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Schleswig-Holstein was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 21.03.2022 and 28.03.2022 among 1008 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 28%, SPD 27%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 16%, FDP 11%, AfD 6%, Südschleswigscher Wählerverband 4%, Die Linke 3% and Freie Wähler 2%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.