Schleswig-Holstein
Election trend
Parties

Schleswig-Holstein: Poll by INSA from 02.05.2022

Polling data

CDU
36.0
+8.0
SPD
20.0
-7.0
Grüne
16.0
±0.0
FDP
9.0
-2.0
AfD
6.0
±0.0
SSW
5.0
+1.0
Linke
3.0
±0.0
Sonst.
5.0
±0.0
Development since the last election on 08.05.2022
CDU
-7.4
SPD
+4.0
Grüne
-2.3
FDP
+2.6
AfD
+1.6
SSW
-0.7
Linke
+1.3
INSA – 1000 respondents – 25.04.2022-02.05.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Schleswig-Holstein is expected to take place in 2027.
Institute often rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower
In 35% of election polls INSA rates Bündnis 90/Die Grünen lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Schleswig-Holstein - The latest poll for the State election in Schleswig-Holstein from INSA shows the following results: CDU 36%, SPD 20%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 16%, FDP 9%, AfD 6%, Südschleswigscher Wählerverband 5% and Die Linke 3%. If an election were held in Schleswig-Holstein this Sunday, SPD might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.0 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Daniel Günther is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and CDU. With 56.5% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (25.04.2022 - 02.05.2022).

Coalition possibilities

69
SPD
15
Grüne
12
SSW
3
FDP
7
CDU
28
AfD
4
Majority requires 35 seats
CDU + SPD
43
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
40
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP + Südschleswigscher Wählerverband
37
CDU + FDP
35
SPD + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + FDP
34

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Schleswig-Holstein was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 25.04.2022 and 02.05.2022 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 36%, SPD 20%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 16%, FDP 9%, AfD 6%, Südschleswigscher Wählerverband 5% and Die Linke 3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.