Schleswig-Holstein
Election trend
Parties

Schleswig-Holstein: Poll by Institut Wahlkreisprognose from 02.11.2022

Polling data

CDU
36.0
-6.0
Grüne
23.0
-0.5
SPD
16.0
+2.0
AfD
8.0
+4.0
SSW
6.0
±0.0
FDP
5.0
±0.0
Sonst.
6.0
+0.5
Development since the last election on 08.05.2022
CDU
-7.4
Grüne
+4.7
SPD
±0.0
AfD
+3.6
SSW
+0.3
FDP
-1.4
Institut Wahlkreisprognose – 942 respondents – 24.10.2022-02.11.2022
Next election: 2027
The next parliamentary election in Schleswig-Holstein is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Schleswig-Holstein - The latest poll for the State election in Schleswig-Holstein from Institut Wahlkreisprognose shows the following results: CDU 36%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 23%, SPD 16%, AfD 8%, Südschleswigscher Wählerverband 6% and FDP 5%. If an election were held in Schleswig-Holstein this Sunday, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.7 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Daniel Günther is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Bündnis 90/Die Grünen and CDU. With 62.8% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. For this purpose, 942 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 9 days (24.10.2022 - 02.11.2022).

Coalition possibilities

69
SPD
12
Grüne
17
SSW
4
FDP
3
CDU
27
AfD
6
Majority requires 35 seats
CDU + Bündnis 90/Die Grünen
44
CDU + SPD
39
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + Südschleswigscher Wählerverband + FDP
36
CDU + AfD + FDP
36
CDU + Südschleswigscher Wählerverband + FDP
34
Bündnis 90/Die Grünen + SPD + FDP
32

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Schleswig-Holstein was conducted by Institut Wahlkreisprognose. The survey took place between 24.10.2022 and 02.11.2022 among 942 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 36%, Bündnis 90/Die Grünen 23%, SPD 16%, AfD 8%, Südschleswigscher Wählerverband 6% and FDP 5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.