Schleswig-Holstein: Poll by INSA from 13.11.2023

Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
CDU
40.0
+1.0
Grüne
16.0
-1.0
SPD
15.0
-1.0
AfD
12.0
+5.0
FDP
6.0
-2.0
SSW
6.0
-1.0
Others
5.0
-1.0
Development since the last election on 08.05.2022
INSA – 1000 respondents – 06.11.2023-13.11.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Schleswig-Holstein is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates Grüne lower

In 35% of election polls INSA rates Grüne lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Schleswig-Holstein - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Schleswig-Holstein from INSA shows the following results: CDU 40%, Grüne 16%, SPD 15%, AfD 12%, FDP 6% and Südschleswigscher Wählerverband 6%. If an election were held in Schleswig-Holstein this Sunday, AfD might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.6 growth since the last election. CDU, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Daniel Günther is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from Grüne and CDU. With 60.9% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by INSA. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (06.11.2023 - 13.11.2023).

Coalition possibilities

69
Majority requires 35 seats
SPD
11
15.9%
Grüne
12
17.4%
SSW
4
5.8%
FDP
4
5.8%
CDU
30
43.5%
AfD
8
11.6%
CDU + Grüne
60.9%
CDU + SPD
59.4%
CDU + AfD
55.1%
CDU + FDP + Südschleswigscher Wählerverband
55.1%
CDU + FDP
49.3%
CDU + Südschleswigscher Wählerverband
49.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Schleswig-Holstein was conducted by INSA. The survey took place between 06.11.2023 and 13.11.2023 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get CDU 40%, Grüne 16%, SPD 15%, AfD 12%, FDP 6% and Südschleswigscher Wählerverband 6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.