Latest voting intention survey by AKO for Slovakia
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Slovakia conducted by AKO, the parties received the following results: PS 21.2%, SMER 20.7%, HLAS 14.7%, SaS 6.9%, KDH 6.7%, S 6.6%, Republika 5.9%, SNS 4.7%, Demokrati 4.1%, MA 3.7%, Sme Rodina 3.6% and ĽSNS 0.4%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1000 people during the period 20.11.2024 - 20.11.2024. The survey was commissioned by TV JOJ.
1000 participants
20.11.2024 - 20.11.2024
AKO
TV JOJ
Seats in parliament
150
Majority requires 76 seats
SMER
38
25%
HLAS
27
17.8%
PS
39
25.6%
SaS
12
8.3%
KDH
12
8.1%
S
12
8%
REP
10
7.1%
PS + HLAS + SaS
PS + HLAS + KDH
PS + HLAS + S
PS + SMER
SMER + HLAS + SaS
SMER + HLAS + KDH
SMER + HLAS + S
PS + SaS + KDH + S
SMER + SaS + KDH + S
Rating of parties
Institute often rates SaS higher
In 36% of election polls, AKO rates SaS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in AKO pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.8 percentage points.
Average deviation of pre-election polls from the last election results
1.3
2.23
What counts as accurate?
Election polls typically have a margin of error of 2-3 percentage points. Deviations up to 1 percentage point are considered very accurate (green), up to 2 percentage points accurate (yellow). Deviations of up to 3 percentage points are acceptable (orange) but can show significant outliers for certain parties. Deviations greater than 3 percentage points indicate low accuracy and reliability (red).
Calculation Methodology
We compare the final voting intention poll conducted within two weeks before an election with the actual election results. Each party’s performance is compared individually, and the average deviation across all parties is calculated.