Latest polls from FOCUS
25.7
21.3
11.3
7.3
7.2
6.5
4.7
4.5
4.4
3.4
2.7
1
24.2
21.6
14.5
7.3
6.6
6.1
5.2
4.7
4.1
3.6
1.8
0.3
21.1
19.7
18
7
6.9
5.5
5.3
5.2
4.5
3.5
2.3
0.9
0.1
21.1
18.9
17.2
6.2
6.1
5.9
5.8
5.4
4.2
3.5
2.7
2.6
0.4
Rating of parties
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in FOCUS pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.8 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, FOCUS's average ranking is 2.0.
1x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
1x the third best prediction