Current election polls and polling data from Ipsos

Latest voting intention survey by Ipsos for Slovakia

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Slovakia conducted by Ipsos, the parties received the following results: PS 22.6%, SMER 21.9%, HLAS 12.8%, Republika 7.7%, KDH 6.9%, SaS 6.2%, Demokrati 4.4%, MA 4%, S 3.6%, Sme Rodina 3%, SNS 2.4%, ZĽ 1.6%, ĽSNS 1.2%, Kresťanská únia 0.8% and NK 0.6%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1003 people during the period 01.11.2024 - 01.11.2024. The survey was commissioned by Dennik N.
1003 participants
27.10.2024 - 01.11.2024
Ipsos
Dennik N
PS
22.6
+1.0
SMER
21.9
-3.6
HLAS
12.8
+0.9
REP
7.7
+1.4
KDH
6.9
+0.9
SaS
6.2
-0.8
D
4.4
-0.7
MA
4.0
-0.9
S
3.6
+3.6
SR
3.0
+1.0
SNS
2.4
-1.0
1.6
+1.6
ĽSNS
1.2
+1.2
0.8
+0.8
NK
0.6
+0.6
Others
0.3
-6.0
This poll is more than 3 months old.

Seats in parliament

150
Majority requires 76 seats
SMER
42
28%
HLAS
24
16%
PS
44
29.3%
KDH
13
8.7%
SaS
12
8%
REP
15
10%
PS + SMER
57.3%
PS + HLAS + KDH
54.0%
PS + HLAS + SaS
53.3%
SMER + HLAS + KDH
52.7%
SMER + HLAS + SaS
52.0%

77

PolitPro Score

Ipsos achieves a score of 77/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
D
6
81
13
HLAS
9
86
5
KDH
5
95
0
MA
0
100
0
PS
9
73
18
REP
0
91
9
S
Not enough data available
SMER
18
68
14
SNS
0
100
0
SR
0
91
9
SaS
14
86
0
0
86
14
ĽSNS
0
92
8

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

1.4

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in Ipsos pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.4 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
1.39
Parliamentary Election in Slowakei 2023 2/5

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.