Current election polls by Median

Latest polls from Median

Rating of parties

Institute often rates HLAS lower
In 54% of election polls Median rates HLAS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.
Institute often rates PS higher
In 38% of election polls, Median rates PS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Median pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.2 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Median's average ranking is 2.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
1x the second best prediction

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