Latest voting intention survey by Median for Slovakia
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Slovakia conducted by Median, the parties received the following results: SMER 21.3%, PS 20.8%, HLAS 16%, KDH 8.4%, SaS 7.9%, S 6%, Republika 4.1%, MA 3.9%, Sme Rodina 3.8%, SNS 3%, ĽSNS 2.2% and Demokrati 1.9%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1129 people during the period 31.08.2024 - 31.08.2024.
1129 participants
01.08.2024 - 31.08.2024
Median
SMER
21.3
+1.5
PS
20.8
+1.5
HLAS
16.0
+4.1
KDH
8.4
+0.7
SaS
7.9
+0.5
S
6.0
+6.0
REP
4.1
-3.9
MA
3.9
+3.9
SR
3.8
-0.3
SNS
3.0
-1.8
ĽSNS
2.2
+2.2
D
1.9
-1.9
Others
0.7
-12.5
This poll is more than 3 months old.
Seats in parliament
150
Majority requires 76 seats
SMER
40
26.7%
HLAS
30
20%
PS
39
26%
KDH
15
10%
SaS
15
10%
S
11
7.3%
SMER + HLAS + SaS
SMER + HLAS + KDH
PS + HLAS + SaS
PS + HLAS + KDH
SMER + SaS + KDH + S
SMER + HLAS + S
PS + SaS + KDH + S
PS + HLAS + S
SMER + PS
59
PolitPro Score
Median achieves a score of 59/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
1.9
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Median pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 1.9 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
1.87
|
Parliamentary Election in Slowakei 2023 | 4/5 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.