Current election polls and polling data from NMS

Latest voting intention survey by NMS for Slovakia

In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Slovakia conducted by NMS, the parties received the following results: PS 23.2%, SMER 19.9%, Republika 9.2%, HLAS 8.5%, KDH 6.9%, S 6.8%, SaS 6.5%, Demokrati 4.8%, MA 3.8%, Sme Rodina 3.7%, ZĽ 2.3%, SNS 1.9%, ĽSNS 1.2%, Kresťanská únia 0.6% and NK 0.2%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1005 people during the period 06.04.2025 - 06.04.2025.
1005 participants
02.04.2025 - 06.04.2025
NMS
PS
23.2
-0.6
SMER
19.9
-1.5
REP
9.2
+1.1
HLAS
8.5
-0.3
KDH
6.9
+0.9
S
6.8
±0.0
SaS
6.5
+0.3
D
4.8
+0.7
MA
3.8
±0.0
SR
3.7
-0.4
2.3
+0.1
SNS
1.9
-0.1
ĽSNS
1.2
+0.4
0.6
-0.2
NK
0.2
±0.0
Others
0.5
-0.4

Seats in parliament

150
Majority requires 76 seats
SMER
37
24.7%
HLAS
16
10.7%
PS
43
28.7%
KDH
13
8.7%
S
12
8%
SaS
12
8%
REP
17
11.3%
PS + HLAS + KDH + SaS
56.0%
PS + HLAS + KDH + S
56.0%
PS + HLAS + SaS + S
55.3%
PS + SMER
53.3%
PS + KDH + SaS + S
53.3%
SMER + HLAS + KDH + SaS
52.0%
SMER + HLAS + KDH + S
52.0%
SMER + HLAS + SaS + S
51.3%
SMER + KDH + SaS + S
49.3%

69

PolitPro Score

NMS achieves a score of 69/100 in the PolitPro Score.

What is the PolitPro Score?

The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.

Rating of parties

Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)

Lower
Similar
Higher
D
11
84
5
HLAS
63
37
0
KDH
16
84
0
MA
0
100
0
PS
11
58
32
REP
0
74
26
S
0
100
0
SMER
26
58
16
SNS
11
84
5
SR
0
79
21
SaS
16
84
0
Not enough data available
ĽSNS
0
100
0

What are significant differences?

The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.

Accuracy in elections

2.0

Average deviation

On average, party poll results in NMS pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.0 percentage points.

Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections

Deviation Election Rank
2.02
Parliamentary Election in Slowakei 2023 5/5

How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?

The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.