Latest voting intention survey by NMS for Slovakia
In the latest voting intention survey for the election in Slovakia conducted by NMS, the parties received the following results: PS 23.1%, SMER 16.3%, Republika 12.1%, S 8.3%, HLAS 7.5%, SaS 6.3%, KDH 5.4%, Demokrati 5.3%, MA 4%, Sme Rodina 3.6%, SNS 2.4%, ĽSNS 1.6%, ZĽ 1.6%, Kresťanská únia 0.6% and NK 0.3%. The voting intention survey interviewed a total of 1002 people during the period 09.11.2025 - 09.11.2025.
1002 participants
05.11.2025 - 09.11.2025
NMS
Seats in parliament
150
Majority requires 76 seats
SMER
29
19.3%
HLAS
13
8.7%
PS
42
28%
S
15
10%
SaS
11
7.3%
KDH
9
6%
D
9
6%
REP
22
14.7%
PS + SMER + S
PS + SMER + HLAS
PS + HLAS + SaS + KDH + Demokrati
PS + SMER + SaS
PS + S + HLAS + SaS
PS + SMER + KDH
PS + SMER + Demokrati
PS + S + HLAS + KDH
PS + S + HLAS + Demokrati
PS + S + SaS + KDH
SMER + S + HLAS + SaS + KDH
PS + S + SaS + Demokrati
SMER + S + HLAS + SaS + Demokrati
PS + HLAS + SaS + KDH
PS + HLAS + SaS + Demokrati
PS + S + KDH + Demokrati
SMER + S + HLAS + KDH + Demokrati
69
PolitPro Score
NMS achieves a score of 69/100 in the PolitPro Score.
What is the PolitPro Score?
The PolitPro Score evaluates the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and neutrality toward political parties. Significant biases in favor of or against parties compared to election trends result in deductions. The maximum score is 100.
Rating of parties
Comparison of historical poll results with overall election trends across all institutes (in %)
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
2.0
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in NMS pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.0 percentage points.
Average Deviation of Pre-Election Polls from the Results of Recent Elections
| Deviation | Election | Rank |
|---|---|---|
|
2.02
|
Parliamentary Election in Slovakia 2023 | 5/5 |
How is an institute’s accuracy calculated?
The accuracy indicates how closely pre-election polls matched the actual election results.