Latest polls from Polis
24.4
11.8
11.5
10.8
7.6
5.8
5.1
4.7
4.5
3.2
3
2.8
1.5
3.3
23.7
13.8
13.1
8.2
6.1
5.3
5.3
5.1
5.1
4.2
3.5
2.2
2.1
1.3
1
0
23.8
13.6
13.1
8.2
6.3
6
5.8
5.7
5.1
4.1
3.6
2.5
1
0.8
0.4
0
23.8
13.6
13.1
8.2
6.3
6
5.8
5.7
5.1
4.1
3.6
2.5
1
0.8
0.4
0
Rating of parties
What are significant differences?
The PolitPro election trend, which calculates a time-weighted average value of current election polls, serves as a comparison value. A poll value is considered higher/lower if it is more than one percentage point higher/lower than the election trend. The overview shows all parties for which there is a deviation in a particular direction in at least 30% of the institute's election polls.
Accuracy in elections
Average deviation
On average, party poll results in Polis pre-election polls deviate from the actual result by 2.7 percentage points.
Average ranking
Compared to other institutes' accuracy in pre-election polls, Polis's average ranking is 3.0.
0x the most accurate prediction
2
0x the second best prediction
3
1x the third best prediction