NMS
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1001 respondents
The next General Election in Slovakia is expected in 2027.
Based on the NMS projection, the incumbent governing parties would currently secure 28.7% of the parliamentary seats.
According to the latest national poll in Slovakia by NMS, PS leads with 20.2%. They are followed by SMER: 17.3%, Republika: 13.6%, SaS: 7.3%, S: 7.1%, HLAS: 7%, Demokrati: 5.8%, KDH: 5.3%, Magyar Aliancia: 4.2%, Sme Rodina: 3.8%, SNS: 2.8%, ZĽ: 2.2%, Slovenská Pravda: 1.6%, ĽSNS: 0.8%, Kresťanská únia: 0.6% and Spoločná voľba: 0.2%. Other parties secure 0.2% of the votes.
NMS achieved a PolitPro Score of 69 out of 100.
On average, NMS's figures deviate by 1.9 percentage points between their final pre-election polls and actual election results.
In 31% of polls, NMS rated PS higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 48% of polls, NMS rated Republika higher than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 62% of polls, NMS rated HLAS lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
In 21% of polls, NMS rated SMER lower than the PolitPro Election Trend (average of all institutes).
The electoral threshold for the election in Slovakia is 5%.
According to NMS, 8 parties are projected to surpass the electoral threshold and enter Slovakia's National Council: PS with 37 representatives, SMER with 31 representatives, Republika with 25 representatives, SaS with 13 representatives, S with 13 representatives, HLAS with 12 representatives, Demokrati with 10 representatives and KDH with 9 representatives.
Slovakia's National Council (Národná rada) comprises 150 members elected for a four-year term. The electoral system employs pure proportional representation with open lists, where the entire country constitutes a single electoral district. Voters cast their ballot for a party list but can influence the order of candidates through up to four preferential votes. If a candidate secures a specific number of preferential votes, they move up the list, granting voters direct influence over candidate selection.
To enter the National Council, Slovakia applies varying electoral thresholds. Individual parties must secure at least 5% of the national vote. For coalitions of two or three parties, the threshold stands at 7%, while alliances of four or more parties face a 10% hurdle. This regulation aims to prevent excessive parliamentary fragmentation by small, ad-hoc alliances. Votes cast for parties failing to clear these thresholds are forfeited in seat allocation, fostering the formation of stable parliamentary factions.
As the electoral system rarely yields an absolute majority for any single party among the 150 seats, coalition governments are the norm in Slovakia. Following an election, the President typically tasks the leader of the strongest party with forming a government. Within 30 days of its appointment, the new government must present its program to the National Council and secure a vote of confidence. Slovakia's political landscape often features dynamic alliances, with negotiations frequently demanding intense compromises on economic and social policy.