The bars show the results of this single poll; the chips show the change compared to the last election. NMS: poll for Slovakia's Parliamentary election, fieldwork concluded 10 August 2026.
Changes since the last election on 30 September 2023
Based on this poll, the parties currently in government would win 29.3% of the parliamentary seats.
A recent voting intention poll for Slovakia by NMS shows PS leading with 19.2%, followed by SMER with 16.5%, Republika with 13.3%, S with 8.9%, SaS with 7.4%, HLAS with 5.9%, KDH with 5.9%, Demokrati with 4.6%, Magyar Aliancia with 4%, Sme Rodina with 3.7%, Slovenská Pravda with 3.6%, SNS with 2.9%, ZĽ with 2.2%, ĽSNS with 0.8%, Spoločná voľba with 0.6% and Kresťanská únia with 0.3%. Other parties achieve 0.2% of the votes.
To make parties comparable, we indicate their political orientation with symbols. These categories provide a rough classification for a quick overview. More detailed information on political stances can be found on the parties' subpages.
1 election comparisons
Last on 10 August 2026
In the PolitPro Score for polling institutes, we assess the reliability of polling institutes based on their accuracy in elections and their deviation from the Election Trend. Significant deviations in party values compared to the Election Trend lead to deductions, as they can indicate favoritism or disadvantage for parties. The score has a maximum value of 100.
Select parties to test coalitions.
Select all parties near the electoral threshold that should enter parliament. electoral threshold at 5%.
Election polls are not predictions, but snapshots with statistical fluctuations. To obtain a realistic picture, we daily simulate 100,000 election outcomes based on the PolitPro Election Trend using the 'Monte Carlo method'. In doing so, we include typical voter migration and political trends. Our algorithm tests various scenarios – from small shifts within camps to political surprises – to determine the actual chances of success for parties and coalitions.
This poll indicates 7 parties would clear the electoral threshold and enter Slovakia's parliament: PS with 38 seats, SMER with 33 seats, Republika with 26 seats, S with 17 seats, SaS with 14 seats, HLAS with 11 seats and KDH with 11 seats.
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