Slovakia: Poll by FOCUS from 15.10.2020

Slovakia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
HLAS
18.7
+2.5
OĽaNO
15.1
-3.3
SaS
10.7
+0.8
SMER
10.5
-0.4
ĽSNS
9.8
+1.3
SR
7.3
-1.8
PS
5.4
-0.5
KDH
5.2
+0.7
ZĽ
4.8
+0.9
SMK
3.2
+0.1
Modri
2.4
+0.7
DV
2.1
+0.2
SNS
2.1
-0.9
V
1.6
+1.6
SPOLU
1.1
+1.1
Development since the last election on 30.09.2023
HLAS
+4.0
OĽaNO
+6.2
SaS
+4.4
SMER
-12.4
ĽSNS
New
SR
+5.1
PS
-12.6
KDH
-1.6
ZĽ
New
SMK
New
Modri
New
DV
New
SNS
-3.5
V
New
SPOLU
New
FOCUS – 1014 respondents – 07.10.2020-15.10.2020

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Slovakia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Slovakia from FOCUS shows the following results: HLAS 18.7%, OĽaNO 15.1%, SaS 10.7%, SMER 10.5%, ĽSNS 9.8%, Sme Rodina 7.3%, PS 5.4%, KDH 5.2%, ZĽ 4.8%, SMK–MKP 3.2%, Modrí, Most–Híd 2.4%, DV 2.1%, SNS 2.1%, V 1.6% and SPOLU 1.1%. If an election were held in Slovakia this Sunday, OĽaNO might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.2 growth since the last election. PS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-12.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Peter Pellegrini is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HLAS, SMER and SNS. With 35.4% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by FOCUS. For this purpose, 1014 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 8 days (07.10.2020 - 15.10.2020).

Coalition possibilities

150
Majority requires 76 seats
HLAS
34
22.7%
SMER
19
12.7%
PS
10
6.7%
OĽaNO
28
18.7%
SaS
19
12.7%
KDH
9
6%
SR
13
8.7%
ĽSNS
18
12%
HLAS + SMER + SaS + PS
54.7%
HLAS + OĽaNO + SMER
54.0%
HLAS + OĽaNO + SaS
54.0%
HLAS + OĽaNO + PS + KDH
54.0%
HLAS + SMER + SaS + KDH
54.0%
OĽaNO + SMER + SaS + PS
50.7%
OĽaNO + SMER + SaS + KDH
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovakia was conducted by FOCUS. The survey took place between 07.10.2020 and 15.10.2020 among 1014 eligible voters. After this election poll would get HLAS 18.7%, OĽaNO 15.1%, SaS 10.7%, SMER 10.5%, ĽSNS 9.8%, Sme Rodina 7.3%, PS 5.4%, KDH 5.2%, ZĽ 4.8%, SMK–MKP 3.2%, Modrí, Most–Híd 2.4%, DV 2.1%, SNS 2.1%, V 1.6% and SPOLU 1.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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