Slovakia: Poll by Median from 11.11.2020

Slovakia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
HLAS
20.3
+3.4
OĽaNO
16.6
-0.4
SaS
12.5
+0.6
PS
7.3
+0.7
ĽSNS
6.9
-1.9
SMER
6.3
-2.8
SR
5.8
-2.9
KDH
4.4
+0.2
ZĽ
4.1
+0.7
SMK
3.2
+0.9
SNS
2.4
-0.1
DV
2.3
+0.5
Modri
1.6
+1.6
V
1.5
-1.0
Others
4.8
+0.5
Development since the last election on 30.09.2023
HLAS
+5.6
OĽaNO
+7.7
SaS
+6.2
PS
-10.7
ĽSNS
New
SMER
-16.6
SR
+3.6
KDH
-2.4
ZĽ
New
SMK
New
SNS
-3.2
DV
New
Modri
New
V
New
Median – 1018 respondents – 06.11.2020-11.11.2020

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates HLAS lower

In 56% of election polls Median rates HLAS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PS higher

In 38% of election polls, Median rates PS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Slovakia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Slovakia from Median shows the following results: HLAS 20.3%, OĽaNO 16.6%, SaS 12.5%, PS 7.3%, ĽSNS 6.9%, SMER 6.3%, Sme Rodina 5.8%, KDH 4.4%, ZĽ 4.1%, SMK–MKP 3.2%, SNS 2.4%, DV 2.3%, Modrí, Most–Híd 1.6% and V 1.5%. If an election were held in Slovakia this Sunday, OĽaNO might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.7 growth since the last election. SMER, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-16.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Peter Pellegrini is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HLAS, SMER and SNS. With 35.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Median. For this purpose, 1018 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (06.11.2020 - 11.11.2020).

Coalition possibilities

150
Majority requires 76 seats
HLAS
41
27.3%
SMER
12
8%
PS
14
9.3%
OĽaNO
33
22%
SaS
25
16.7%
SR
11
7.3%
ĽSNS
14
9.3%
HLAS + OĽaNO + SaS
66.0%
HLAS + OĽaNO + PS
58.7%
HLAS + OĽaNO + SMER
57.3%
OĽaNO + SaS + PS + SMER
56.0%
HLAS + SaS + PS
53.3%
HLAS + SaS + SMER
52.0%
HLAS + OĽaNO
49.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovakia was conducted by Median. The survey took place between 06.11.2020 and 11.11.2020 among 1018 eligible voters. After this election poll would get HLAS 20.3%, OĽaNO 16.6%, SaS 12.5%, PS 7.3%, ĽSNS 6.9%, SMER 6.3%, Sme Rodina 5.8%, KDH 4.4%, ZĽ 4.1%, SMK–MKP 3.2%, SNS 2.4%, DV 2.3%, Modrí, Most–Híd 1.6% and V 1.5%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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