Slovakia: Poll by Median from 18.03.2021

Slovakia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
HLAS
21.4
-0.3
OĽaNO
11.3
-3.6
SaS
10.3
-1.5
PS
9.3
+2.8
SMER
8.6
+0.4
SR
5.0
-0.6
ZĽ
4.7
+0.3
KDH
4.3
+0.6
ĽSNS
4.0
-5.2
SMK
3.7
+0.6
SNS
2.1
+0.7
V
2.1
-0.3
SPOLU
1.5
+1.5
DV
1.5
-1.1
Modri
1.0
+1.0
Others
9.2
+4.7
Development since the last election on 30.09.2023
HLAS
+6.7
OĽaNO
+2.4
SaS
+4.0
PS
-8.7
SMER
-14.3
SR
+2.8
ZĽ
New
KDH
-2.5
ĽSNS
New
SMK
New
SNS
-3.5
V
New
SPOLU
New
DV
New
Modri
New
Median – 1003 respondents – 12.03.2021-18.03.2021

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates HLAS lower

In 56% of election polls Median rates HLAS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PS higher

In 38% of election polls, Median rates PS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Slovakia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Slovakia from Median shows the following results: HLAS 21.4%, OĽaNO 11.3%, SaS 10.3%, PS 9.3%, SMER 8.6%, Sme Rodina 5%, ZĽ 4.7%, KDH 4.3%, ĽSNS 4%, SMK–MKP 3.7%, SNS 2.1%, V 2.1%, SPOLU 1.5%, DV 1.5% and Modrí, Most–Híd 1%. If an election were held in Slovakia this Sunday, HLAS might gain the most in voter favorability with +6.7 growth since the last election. SMER, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-14.3) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Peter Pellegrini is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HLAS, SMER and SNS. With 46.0% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Median. For this purpose, 1003 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (12.03.2021 - 18.03.2021).

Coalition possibilities

150
Majority requires 76 seats
HLAS
49
32.7%
SMER
20
13.3%
PS
21
14%
OĽaNO
26
17.3%
SaS
23
15.3%
SR
11
7.3%
HLAS + OĽaNO + SaS
65.3%
HLAS + OĽaNO + PS
64.0%
HLAS + OĽaNO + SMER
63.3%
HLAS + SaS + PS
62.0%
HLAS + SaS + SMER
61.3%
OĽaNO + SaS + PS + SMER
60.0%
HLAS + PS + SMER
60.0%
HLAS + OĽaNO
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovakia was conducted by Median. The survey took place between 12.03.2021 and 18.03.2021 among 1003 eligible voters. After this election poll would get HLAS 21.4%, OĽaNO 11.3%, SaS 10.3%, PS 9.3%, SMER 8.6%, Sme Rodina 5%, ZĽ 4.7%, KDH 4.3%, ĽSNS 4%, SMK–MKP 3.7%, SNS 2.1%, V 2.1%, SPOLU 1.5%, DV 1.5% and Modrí, Most–Híd 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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