Slovakia: Poll by Ipsos from 20.09.2022

Slovakia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
HLAS
18.3
+1.1
SMER
15.5
±0.0
PS
11.6
+0.2
SaS
9.3
-2.9
OĽaNO
7.8
±0.0
SR
7.5
+1.1
REP
7.0
-0.3
KDH
6.5
+0.2
SNS
2.8
+0.5
ĽSNS
2.7
-0.2
ALI
2.1
±0.0
ZĽ
1.7
-1.3
Others
7.2
+1.6
Development since the last election on 30.09.2023
HLAS
+3.6
SMER
-7.4
PS
-6.4
SaS
+3.0
OĽaNO
-1.1
SR
+5.3
REP
+2.2
KDH
-0.3
SNS
-2.8
ĽSNS
New
ALI
-2.3
ZĽ
New
Ipsos – 1003 respondents – 14.09.2022-20.09.2022

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Slovakia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Slovakia from Ipsos shows the following results: HLAS 18.3%, SMER 15.5%, PS 11.6%, SaS 9.3%, OĽaNO 7.8%, Sme Rodina 7.5%, Republika 7%, KDH 6.5%, SNS 2.8%, ĽSNS 2.7%, Aliancia 2.1% and ZĽ 1.7%. If an election were held in Slovakia this Sunday, Sme Rodina might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.3 growth since the last election. SMER, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-7.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Peter Pellegrini is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HLAS, SMER and SNS. With 40.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1003 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 6 days (14.09.2022 - 20.09.2022).

Coalition possibilities

150
Majority requires 76 seats
HLAS
33
22%
SMER
28
18.7%
PS
21
14%
SaS
17
11.3%
OĽaNO
14
9.3%
KDH
12
8%
SR
13
8.7%
REP
12
8%
HLAS + SMER + OĽaNO + KDH
58.0%
HLAS + PS + SaS + OĽaNO
56.7%
HLAS + PS + SaS + KDH
55.3%
HLAS + SMER + PS
54.7%
SMER + PS + SaS + OĽaNO
53.3%
HLAS + PS + OĽaNO + KDH
53.3%
SMER + PS + SaS + KDH
52.0%
HLAS + SMER + SaS
52.0%
HLAS + SaS + OĽaNO + KDH
50.7%
SMER + PS + OĽaNO + KDH
50.0%
HLAS + SMER + OĽaNO
50.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovakia was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 14.09.2022 and 20.09.2022 among 1003 eligible voters. After this election poll would get HLAS 18.3%, SMER 15.5%, PS 11.6%, SaS 9.3%, OĽaNO 7.8%, Sme Rodina 7.5%, Republika 7%, KDH 6.5%, SNS 2.8%, ĽSNS 2.7%, Aliancia 2.1% and ZĽ 1.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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