Slovakia: Poll by Ipsos from 21.10.2022

Slovakia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
HLAS
20.2
+1.9
SMER
14.8
-0.7
PS
10.9
-0.7
SaS
8.5
-0.8
OĽaNO
7.9
+0.1
SR
7.5
±0.0
REP
6.8
-0.2
KDH
6.5
±0.0
SNS
3.0
+0.2
ALI
2.9
+0.8
ZĽ
2.8
+1.1
ĽSNS
2.6
-0.1
DV
1.1
+1.1
SPOLU
1.0
+1.0
MF
1.0
+1.0
Others
2.5
-4.7
Development since the last election on 30.09.2023
HLAS
+5.5
SMER
-8.1
PS
-7.1
SaS
+2.2
OĽaNO
-1.0
SR
+5.3
REP
+2.0
KDH
-0.3
SNS
-2.6
ALI
-1.5
ZĽ
New
ĽSNS
New
DV
New
SPOLU
New
MF
New
Ipsos – 1018 respondents – 18.10.2022-21.10.2022

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Slovakia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Slovakia from Ipsos shows the following results: HLAS 20.2%, SMER 14.8%, PS 10.9%, SaS 8.5%, OĽaNO 7.9%, Sme Rodina 7.5%, Republika 6.8%, KDH 6.5%, SNS 3%, Aliancia 2.9%, ZĽ 2.8%, ĽSNS 2.6%, DV 1.1%, SPOLU 1% and MF 1%. If an election were held in Slovakia this Sunday, HLAS might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.5 growth since the last election. SMER, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-8.1) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Peter Pellegrini is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HLAS, SMER and SNS. With 42.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1018 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 3 days (18.10.2022 - 21.10.2022).

Coalition possibilities

150
Majority requires 76 seats
HLAS
37
24.7%
SMER
27
18%
PS
20
13.3%
SaS
15
10%
OĽaNO
14
9.3%
KDH
12
8%
SR
13
8.7%
REP
12
8%
HLAS + PS + SaS + OĽaNO
57.3%
HLAS + SMER + PS
56.0%
HLAS + PS + SaS + KDH
56.0%
HLAS + PS + OĽaNO + KDH
55.3%
HLAS + SMER + SaS
52.7%
HLAS + SMER + OĽaNO
52.0%
HLAS + SaS + OĽaNO + KDH
52.0%
SMER + PS + SaS + OĽaNO
50.7%
HLAS + SMER + KDH
50.7%
SMER + PS + SaS + KDH
49.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovakia was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 18.10.2022 and 21.10.2022 among 1018 eligible voters. After this election poll would get HLAS 20.2%, SMER 14.8%, PS 10.9%, SaS 8.5%, OĽaNO 7.9%, Sme Rodina 7.5%, Republika 6.8%, KDH 6.5%, SNS 3%, Aliancia 2.9%, ZĽ 2.8%, ĽSNS 2.6%, DV 1.1%, SPOLU 1% and MF 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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