Slovakia: Poll by NMS from 17.05.2023

Slovakia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SMER
21.3
-1.1
PS
14.2
+1.4
HLAS
14.0
-0.2
REP
8.7
-1.2
OĽaNO
7.3
+2.1
SaS
6.2
+1.1
SR
5.9
+0.2
KDH
5.5
-0.8
SNS
3.1
+0.7
D
2.7
-0.3
ALI
2.6
-0.4
ĽSNS
1.7
-0.2
ZĽ
1.0
-1.0
Others
5.8
-0.3
Development since the last election on 30.09.2023
SMER
-1.6
PS
-3.8
HLAS
-0.7
REP
+3.9
OĽaNO
-1.6
SaS
-0.1
SR
+3.7
KDH
-1.3
SNS
-2.5
D
-0.2
ALI
-1.8
ĽSNS
New
ZĽ
New
NMS – 1233 respondents – 03.05.2023-17.05.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates HLAS lower

In 61% of election polls NMS rates HLAS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PS higher

In 33% of election polls, NMS rates PS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Slovakia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Slovakia from NMS shows the following results: SMER 21.3%, PS 14.2%, HLAS 14%, Republika 8.7%, OĽaNO 7.3%, SaS 6.2%, Sme Rodina 5.9%, KDH 5.5%, SNS 3.1%, Demokrati 2.7%, Aliancia 2.6%, ĽSNS 1.7% and ZĽ 1%. If an election were held in Slovakia this Sunday, Republika might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.9 growth since the last election. PS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Peter Pellegrini is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HLAS, SMER and SNS. With 42.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by NMS. For this purpose, 1233 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 14 days (03.05.2023 - 17.05.2023).

Coalition possibilities

150
Majority requires 76 seats
SMER
39
26%
HLAS
25
16.7%
PS
26
17.3%
OĽaNO
13
8.7%
SaS
11
7.3%
KDH
10
6.7%
SR
10
6.7%
REP
16
10.7%
SMER + PS + HLAS
60.0%
SMER + HLAS + SaS + KDH
56.7%
PS + HLAS + OĽaNO + SaS + KDH
56.7%
SMER + PS + OĽaNO
52.0%
SMER + HLAS + OĽaNO
51.3%
SMER + PS + SaS
50.7%
SMER + PS + KDH
50.0%
SMER + HLAS + SaS
50.0%
PS + HLAS + OĽaNO + SaS
50.0%
SMER + HLAS + KDH
49.3%
PS + HLAS + OĽaNO + KDH
49.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovakia was conducted by NMS. The survey took place between 03.05.2023 and 17.05.2023 among 1233 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SMER 21.3%, PS 14.2%, HLAS 14%, Republika 8.7%, OĽaNO 7.3%, SaS 6.2%, Sme Rodina 5.9%, KDH 5.5%, SNS 3.1%, Demokrati 2.7%, Aliancia 2.6%, ĽSNS 1.7% and ZĽ 1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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