Slovakia: Poll by Median from 21.07.2023

Polling data

SMER
20.1
+3.4
PS
19.1
+5.0
HLAS
11.1
-8.0
REP
10.0
+0.4
KDH
6.5
+0.4
SR
6.1
+0.1
SaS
6.1
-0.4
OĽaNO
5.5
-0.8
D
4.2
+4.2
SNS
4.1
+4.1
Modri
2.5
+2.5
ĽSNS
2.3
+0.3
Others
2.4
-11.2
Development since the last election on 30.09.2023
SMER
-2.8
PS
+1.1
HLAS
-3.6
REP
+5.2
KDH
-0.3
SR
+3.9
SaS
-0.2
OĽaNO
-3.4
D
+1.3
SNS
-1.5
Modri
New
ĽSNS
New
Median – 1006 respondents – 19.07.2023-21.07.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates HLAS lower

In 56% of election polls Median rates HLAS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PS higher

In 38% of election polls, Median rates PS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Republika higher

In 42% of election polls, Median rates Republika higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Slovakia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Slovakia from Median shows the following results: SMER 20.1%, PS 19.1%, HLAS 11.1%, Republika 10%, KDH 6.5%, Sme Rodina 6.1%, SaS 6.1%, OĽaNO 5.5%, Demokrati 4.2%, SNS 4.1%, Modrí, Most–Híd 2.5% and ĽSNS 2.3%. If an election were held in Slovakia this Sunday, Republika might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.2 growth since the last election. HLAS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Peter Pellegrini is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HLAS, SMER and SNS. With 36.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Median. For this purpose, 1006 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 2 days (19.07.2023 - 21.07.2023).

Coalition possibilities

150
Majority requires 76 seats
SMER
36
23.8%
HLAS
20
13.1%
PS
34
22.6%
KDH
11
7.7%
SaS
11
7.2%
OĽaNO
9
6.5%
SR
11
7.2%
REP
18
11.8%
SMER + PS + HLAS
60.0%
SMER + PS + SaS
54.0%
SMER + PS + KDH
54.0%
SMER + PS + OĽaNO
52.7%
SMER + HLAS + KDH + SaS
52.0%
SMER + HLAS + SaS + OĽaNO
50.7%
SMER + HLAS + KDH + OĽaNO
50.7%
PS + HLAS + KDH + SaS
50.7%
PS + HLAS + SaS + OĽaNO
49.3%
PS + HLAS + KDH + OĽaNO
49.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovakia was conducted by Median. The survey took place between 19.07.2023 and 21.07.2023 among 1006 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SMER 20.1%, PS 19.1%, HLAS 11.1%, Republika 10%, KDH 6.5%, Sme Rodina 6.1%, SaS 6.1%, OĽaNO 5.5%, Demokrati 4.2%, SNS 4.1%, Modrí, Most–Híd 2.5% and ĽSNS 2.3%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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