Slovakia: Poll by Median from 26.07.2023

Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SMER
21.5
+1.4
PS
17.1
-2.0
HLAS
12.1
+1.0
REP
9.7
-0.3
SR
7.4
+1.3
SaS
6.5
+0.4
KDH
6.2
-0.3
OĽaNO
5.3
-0.2
SNS
4.2
+0.1
D
3.4
-0.8
ALI
2.4
+2.4
Others
4.2
-3.0
Development since the last election on 30.09.2023
SMER
-1.4
PS
-0.9
HLAS
-2.6
REP
+4.9
SR
+5.2
SaS
+0.2
KDH
-0.6
OĽaNO
-3.6
SNS
-1.4
D
+0.5
ALI
-2.0
Median – 1010 respondents – 21.07.2023-26.07.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates HLAS lower

In 56% of election polls Median rates HLAS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PS higher

In 38% of election polls, Median rates PS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Republika higher

In 42% of election polls, Median rates Republika higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Slovakia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Slovakia from Median shows the following results: SMER 21.5%, PS 17.1%, HLAS 12.1%, Republika 9.7%, Sme Rodina 7.4%, SaS 6.5%, KDH 6.2%, OĽaNO 5.3%, SNS 4.2%, Demokrati 3.4% and Aliancia 2.4%. If an election were held in Slovakia this Sunday, Sme Rodina might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.2 growth since the last election. OĽaNO, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Peter Pellegrini is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HLAS, SMER and SNS. With 39.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Median. For this purpose, 1010 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (21.07.2023 - 26.07.2023).

Coalition possibilities

150
Majority requires 76 seats
SMER
38
25.3%
HLAS
21
14%
PS
30
20%
SaS
11
7.3%
KDH
11
7.3%
OĽaNO
9
6%
SR
13
8.7%
REP
17
11.3%
SMER + PS + HLAS
59.3%
PS + HLAS + SaS + KDH + OĽaNO
54.7%
SMER + HLAS + SaS + KDH
54.0%
SMER + PS + SaS
52.7%
SMER + PS + KDH
52.7%
SMER + HLAS + SaS + OĽaNO
52.7%
SMER + HLAS + KDH + OĽaNO
52.7%
SMER + PS + OĽaNO
51.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovakia was conducted by Median. The survey took place between 21.07.2023 and 26.07.2023 among 1010 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SMER 21.5%, PS 17.1%, HLAS 12.1%, Republika 9.7%, Sme Rodina 7.4%, SaS 6.5%, KDH 6.2%, OĽaNO 5.3%, SNS 4.2%, Demokrati 3.4% and Aliancia 2.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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