Slovakia
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Slovakia: Poll by Ipsos from 07.11.2023

Polling data

SMER
24.0
+3.4
PS
19.1
-0.7
HLAS
15.1
+3.2
OĽaNO
7.0
-1.2
SaS
6.3
-0.7
KDH
5.8
-0.1
REP
5.8
-1.8
SNS
5.1
-0.6
ALI
4.4
+1.0
D
3.1
-0.2
SR
2.3
-1.7
ĽSNS
1.1
+1.1
Modri
0.4
+0.4
MF
0.1
+0.1
Sonst.
0.4
-2.2
Development since the last election on 30.09.2023
SMER
+1.1
PS
+1.1
HLAS
+0.4
OĽaNO
-1.9
SaS
±0.0
KDH
-1.0
REP
+1.0
SNS
-0.5
ALI
±0.0
D
+0.2
SR
+0.1
ĽSNS
New
Modri
New
MF
New
Ipsos – 1021 respondents – 02.11.2023-07.11.2023

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Slovakia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Slovakia from Ipsos shows the following results: SMER 24%, PS 19.1%, HLAS 15.1%, OĽaNO 7%, SaS 6.3%, KDH 5.8%, Republika 5.8%, SNS 5.1%, Aliancia 4.4%, Demokrati 3.1%, Sme Rodina 2.3%, ĽSNS 1.1%, Modrí, Most–Híd 0.4% and MF 0.1%. If an election were held in Slovakia this Sunday, SMER might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.1 growth since the last election. OĽaNO, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Peter Pellegrini is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HLAS, SMER and SNS. With 50.1% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1021 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (02.11.2023 - 07.11.2023).

Coalition possibilities

150
SMER
41
HLAS
26
PS
33
OĽaNO
12
SaS
10
KDH
10
SNS
8
REP
10
Majority requires 76 seats
SMER + PS + HLAS
100
SMER + PS + OĽaNO
86
SMER + PS + SaS
84
SMER + PS + KDH
84
PS + HLAS + OĽaNO + SaS
81
PS + HLAS + OĽaNO + KDH
81
PS + HLAS + SaS + KDH
79
SMER + HLAS + OĽaNO
79
SMER + HLAS + SaS
77
SMER + HLAS + KDH
77
SMER + HLAS + SNS
75
SMER + PS
74

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovakia was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 02.11.2023 and 07.11.2023 among 1021 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SMER 24%, PS 19.1%, HLAS 15.1%, OĽaNO 7%, SaS 6.3%, KDH 5.8%, Republika 5.8%, SNS 5.1%, Aliancia 4.4%, Demokrati 3.1%, Sme Rodina 2.3%, ĽSNS 1.1%, Modrí, Most–Híd 0.4% and MF 0.1%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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