Slovakia: Poll by AKO from 16.01.2024

Slovakia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
SMER
22.1
-2.1
PS
19.9
-1.5
HLAS
14.3
-0.3
KDH
8.7
+1.4
S/KÚ/ZL
7.0
+0.2
SaS
6.0
-0.4
SNS
5.4
+0.1
REP
5.3
-0.1
MA
4.3
+4.3
D
3.2
+1.2
SR
2.4
+0.1
Others
1.4
-2.9
Development since the last election on 30.09.2023
SMER
-0.8
PS
+1.9
HLAS
-0.4
KDH
+1.9
S/KÚ/ZL
New
SaS
-0.3
SNS
-0.2
REP
+0.5
MA
New
D
+0.3
SR
+0.2
AKO – 1000 respondents – 11.01.2024-16.01.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates SaS higher

In 36% of election polls, AKO rates SaS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Slovakia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Slovakia from AKO shows the following results: SMER 22.1%, PS 19.9%, HLAS 14.3%, KDH 8.7%, S/KÚ/ZL 7%, SaS 6%, SNS 5.4%, Republika 5.3%, MA 4.3%, Demokrati 3.2% and Sme Rodina 2.4%. If an election were held in Slovakia this Sunday, KDH might gain the most in voter favorability with +1.9 growth since the last election. SMER, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-0.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Peter Pellegrini is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HLAS, SMER and SNS. With 47.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by AKO. For this purpose, 1000 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (11.01.2024 - 16.01.2024).

Coalition possibilities

150
Majority requires 76 seats
SMER
38
25.3%
HLAS
24
16%
PS
34
22.7%
S/KÚ/ZL
12
8%
KDH
14
9.3%
SaS
10
6.7%
SNS
9
6%
REP
9
6%
SMER + PS + HLAS
64.0%
SMER + PS + KDH
57.3%
SMER + PS + S/KÚ/ZL
56.0%
SMER + HLAS + S/KÚ/ZL + SaS
56.0%
PS + HLAS + KDH + S/KÚ/ZL
56.0%
SMER + PS + SaS
54.7%
PS + HLAS + KDH + SaS
54.7%
PS + HLAS + S/KÚ/ZL + SaS
53.3%
SMER + HLAS + KDH
50.7%
SMER + KDH + S/KÚ/ZL + SaS
49.3%
SMER + HLAS + S/KÚ/ZL
49.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovakia was conducted by AKO. The survey took place between 11.01.2024 and 16.01.2024 among 1000 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SMER 22.1%, PS 19.9%, HLAS 14.3%, KDH 8.7%, S/KÚ/ZL 7%, SaS 6%, SNS 5.4%, Republika 5.3%, MA 4.3%, Demokrati 3.2% and Sme Rodina 2.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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