Slovakia: Poll by NMS from 18.02.2024

Slovakia: Polling data

This poll is more than 3 months old.
PS
22.0
+2.3
SMER
21.0
+1.6
HLAS
16.9
+6.4
KDH
7.2
+1.8
S/KÚ/ZL
6.0
+6.0
REP
5.8
-2.7
SaS
5.7
±0.0
SNS
4.2
-1.2
SR
3.6
-1.6
MA
3.3
+3.3
D
2.5
+0.2
ĽSNS
1.6
+1.6
Others
0.2
-17.7
Development since the last election on 30.09.2023
PS
+4.0
SMER
-1.9
HLAS
+2.2
KDH
+0.4
S/KÚ/ZL
New
REP
+1.0
SaS
-0.6
SNS
-1.4
SR
+1.4
MA
New
D
-0.4
ĽSNS
New
NMS – 1019 respondents – 14.02.2024-18.02.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates HLAS lower

In 59% of election polls NMS rates HLAS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Slovakia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary Election in Slovakia from NMS shows the following results: PS 22%, SMER 21%, HLAS 16.9%, KDH 7.2%, S/KÚ/ZL 6%, Republika 5.8%, SaS 5.7%, SNS 4.2%, Sme Rodina 3.6%, MA 3.3%, Demokrati 2.5% and ĽSNS 1.6%. If an election were held in Slovakia this Sunday, PS might gain the most in voter favorability with +4.0 growth since the last election. SMER, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.9) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Peter Pellegrini is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HLAS, SMER and SNS. With 45.3% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by NMS. For this purpose, 1019 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (14.02.2024 - 18.02.2024).

Coalition possibilities

150
Majority requires 76 seats
SMER
38
25.3%
HLAS
30
20%
PS
39
26%
S/KÚ/ZL
10
6.7%
KDH
13
8.7%
SaS
10
6.7%
REP
10
6.7%
PS + HLAS + KDH
54.7%
SMER + HLAS + KDH
54.0%
PS + HLAS + SaS
52.7%
PS + HLAS + S/KÚ/ZL
52.7%
SMER + HLAS + SaS
52.0%
SMER + HLAS + S/KÚ/ZL
52.0%
PS + SMER
51.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovakia was conducted by NMS. The survey took place between 14.02.2024 and 18.02.2024 among 1019 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PS 22%, SMER 21%, HLAS 16.9%, KDH 7.2%, S/KÚ/ZL 6%, Republika 5.8%, SaS 5.7%, SNS 4.2%, Sme Rodina 3.6%, MA 3.3%, Demokrati 2.5% and ĽSNS 1.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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