Slovakia: Poll by FOCUS from 21.02.2024

Polling data

SMER
21.1
-0.5
PS
18.9
-0.5
HLAS
17.2
-0.7
SaS
6.2
+0.7
KDH
6.1
-0.1
S/KÚ/ZL
5.9
-0.6
SNS
5.8
+0.1
MA
5.4
+0.8
REP
4.2
-0.6
D
3.5
±0.0
ĽSNS
2.7
+1.0
SR
2.6
+0.2
Others
0.4
+0.2
Development since the last election on 30.09.2023
SMER
-1.8
PS
+0.9
HLAS
+2.5
SaS
-0.1
KDH
-0.7
S/KÚ/ZL
New
SNS
+0.2
MA
New
REP
-0.6
D
+0.6
ĽSNS
New
SR
+0.4
FOCUS – 1025 respondents – 14.02.2024-21.02.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Slovakia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Slovakia from FOCUS shows the following results: SMER 21.1%, PS 18.9%, HLAS 17.2%, SaS 6.2%, KDH 6.1%, S/KÚ/ZL 5.9%, SNS 5.8%, MA 5.4%, Republika 4.2%, Demokrati 3.5%, ĽSNS 2.7% and Sme Rodina 2.6%. If an election were held in Slovakia this Sunday, HLAS might gain the most in voter favorability with +2.5 growth since the last election. SMER, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-1.8) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Peter Pellegrini is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HLAS, SMER and SNS. With 51.0% of virtual seats, the government could continue in office.

The election survey was collected by FOCUS. For this purpose, 1025 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (14.02.2024 - 21.02.2024).

Coalition possibilities

150
Majority requires 76 seats
MA
9
6.2%
SMER
37
24.4%
HLAS
30
19.9%
PS
33
21.8%
S/KÚ/ZL
10
6.8%
SaS
11
7.2%
KDH
10
7%
SNS
10
6.7%
SMER + PS + HLAS
66.7%
PS + HLAS + SaS + KDH
56.0%
PS + HLAS + SaS + S/KÚ/ZL
56.0%
PS + HLAS + KDH + S/KÚ/ZL
55.3%
PS + HLAS + SaS + MA
55.3%
PS + HLAS + S/KÚ/ZL + MA
54.7%
PS + HLAS + KDH + MA
54.7%
SMER + PS + SaS
54.0%
SMER + PS + KDH
53.3%
SMER + PS + S/KÚ/ZL
53.3%
SMER + PS + MA
52.7%
SMER + HLAS + SaS
52.0%
SMER + HLAS + KDH
51.3%
SMER + HLAS + SNS
51.3%
SMER + HLAS + S/KÚ/ZL
51.3%
SMER + SaS + KDH + S/KÚ/ZL + MA
51.3%
SMER + HLAS + MA
50.7%
PS + HLAS + SaS
49.3%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in Slovakia was conducted by FOCUS. The survey took place between 14.02.2024 and 21.02.2024 among 1025 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SMER 21.1%, PS 18.9%, HLAS 17.2%, SaS 6.2%, KDH 6.1%, S/KÚ/ZL 5.9%, SNS 5.8%, MA 5.4%, Republika 4.2%, Demokrati 3.5%, ĽSNS 2.7% and Sme Rodina 2.6%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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