Slovakia: Poll by NMS from 13.05.2024

Polling data

PS
23.4
-0.9
SMER
17.3
-2.5
REP
12.6
+1.9
HLAS
11.2
-0.8
SaS
7.4
+0.4
KDH
4.8
+0.2
S/ZL
4.8
+1.2
D
3.5
-0.9
MA
3.1
+0.2
SNS
3.0
-0.2
ZR
2.2
±0.0
KÚ
1.6
+0.8
ĽSNS
0.9
+0.2
Others
4.2
+0.4
Development since the last election on 30.09.2023
PS
+5.4
SMER
-5.6
REP
+7.8
HLAS
-3.5
SaS
+1.1
KDH
-2.0
S/ZL
New
D
+0.6
MA
New
SNS
-2.6
ZR
New
KÚ
New
ĽSNS
New
NMS – 1020 respondents – 09.05.2024-13.05.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.

Institute often rates HLAS lower

In 57% of election polls NMS rates HLAS lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates PS higher

In 36% of election polls, NMS rates PS higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates Republika higher

In 36% of election polls, NMS rates Republika higher than the general election trend of all institutes.

Institute often rates SMER lower

In 36% of election polls NMS rates SMER lower than the general election trend of all institutes.

Election poll results

Slovakia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Slovakia from NMS shows the following results: PS 23.4%, SMER 17.3%, Republika 12.6%, HLAS 11.2%, SaS 7.4%, KDH 4.8%, S/ZL 4.8%, Demokrati 3.5%, MA 3.1%, SNS 3%, ZR 2.2%, Kresťanská únia 1.6% and ĽSNS 0.9%. If an election were held in Slovakia this Sunday, Republika might gain the most in voter favorability with +7.8 growth since the last election. SMER, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-5.6) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Peter Pellegrini is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HLAS, SMER and SNS. With 32.9% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by NMS. For this purpose, 1020 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 4 days (09.05.2024 - 13.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
Majority requires 49 seats
MA
3
3.2%
ZR
2
2.3%
SMER
18
18.1%
HLAS
12
11.7%
PS
24
24.4%
SaS
8
7.7%
KDH
5
5%
S/ZL
5
5%
D
3
3.7%
KÚ
1
1.7%
SNS
2
3.1%
REP
13
13.2%
PS + SMER + HLAS
56.3%
PS + SMER + SaS
52.1%
PS + SMER + KDH + Demokrati
52.1%
PS + SMER + KDH + MA
52.1%
PS + HLAS + SaS + Demokrati + MA
52.1%
PS + HLAS + SaS + KDH
51.0%
PS + SMER + Demokrati + MA
50.0%
PS + SMER + KDH
49.0%
PS + HLAS + SaS + Demokrati
49.0%
PS + HLAS + SaS + MA
49.0%
PS + HLAS + KDH + Demokrati + MA
49.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by NMS. The survey took place between 09.05.2024 and 13.05.2024 among 1020 eligible voters. After this election poll would get PS 23.4%, SMER 17.3%, Republika 12.6%, HLAS 11.2%, SaS 7.4%, KDH 4.8%, S/ZL 4.8%, Demokrati 3.5%, MA 3.1%, SNS 3%, ZR 2.2%, Kresťanská únia 1.6% and ĽSNS 0.9%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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