Slovakia: Poll by Ipsos from 21.05.2024

Polling data

SMER
24.4
+24.4
PS
23.5
+23.5
HLAS
10.3
+10.3
REP
9.0
+9.0
KDH
7.1
+7.1
SaS
5.7
+5.7
S/ZL
5.3
+5.3
MA
4.8
+4.8
SNS
4.0
+4.0
D
3.4
+3.4
Others
2.5
-97.5
Development since the last election on 30.09.2023
SMER
+1.5
PS
+5.5
HLAS
-4.4
REP
+4.2
KDH
+0.3
SaS
-0.6
S/ZL
New
MA
New
SNS
-1.6
D
+0.5
Ipsos – 414 respondents – 14.05.2024-21.05.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.

Low number of respondents

Only 414 eligible voters were polled for this election poll.

Election poll results

Slovakia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Slovakia from Ipsos shows the following results: SMER 24.4%, PS 23.5%, HLAS 10.3%, Republika 9%, KDH 7.1%, SaS 5.7%, S/ZL 5.3%, MA 4.8%, SNS 4% and Demokrati 3.4%. If an election were held in Slovakia this Sunday, PS might gain the most in voter favorability with +5.5 growth since the last election. HLAS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-4.4) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Peter Pellegrini is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HLAS, SMER and SNS. With 39.7% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 414 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 7 days (14.05.2024 - 21.05.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
Majority requires 49 seats
MA
4
4.9%
SMER
25
25%
HLAS
11
10.6%
PS
24
24.1%
KDH
7
7.3%
SaS
5
5.8%
S/ZL
5
5.4%
D
3
3.5%
SNS
3
4.1%
REP
9
9.2%
SMER + HLAS + KDH + SaS + MA
54.2%
SMER + HLAS + KDH + SaS + Demokrati
53.1%
PS + HLAS + KDH + SaS + MA
53.1%
PS + HLAS + KDH + SaS + Demokrati
52.1%
SMER + HLAS + KDH + MA + Demokrati
52.1%
SMER + PS
51.0%
PS + HLAS + KDH + MA + Demokrati
51.0%
SMER + HLAS + KDH + SaS
50.0%
SMER + HLAS + SaS + MA + Demokrati
50.0%
PS + HLAS + KDH + SaS
49.0%
SMER + HLAS + KDH + MA
49.0%
PS + HLAS + SaS + MA + Demokrati
49.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 14.05.2024 and 21.05.2024 among 414 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SMER 24.4%, PS 23.5%, HLAS 10.3%, Republika 9%, KDH 7.1%, SaS 5.7%, S/ZL 5.3%, MA 4.8%, SNS 4% and Demokrati 3.4%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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