Slovakia: Poll by Ipsos from 04.06.2024

Polling data

SMER
24.6
+24.6
PS
21.9
+21.9
HLAS
11.2
+11.2
REP
8.7
+8.7
KDH
6.3
+6.3
SaS
5.7
+5.7
D
5.2
+5.2
MA
5.1
+5.1
S/ZL
4.4
+4.4
SNS
3.2
+3.2
KÚ
1.5
+1.5
ĽSNS
1.0
+1.0
ZR
0.7
+0.7
Others
0.5
-99.5
Development since the last election on 30.09.2023
SMER
+1.7
PS
+3.9
HLAS
-3.5
REP
+3.9
KDH
-0.5
SaS
-0.6
D
+2.3
MA
New
S/ZL
New
SNS
-2.4
KÚ
New
ĽSNS
New
ZR
New
Ipsos – 1225 respondents – 30.05.2024-04.06.2024

Next election: 2027

The next parliamentary election in Slovakia is expected to take place in 2027.

Election poll results

Slovakia - The latest poll for the Parliamentary election in Slovakia from Ipsos shows the following results: SMER 24.6%, PS 21.9%, HLAS 11.2%, Republika 8.7%, KDH 6.3%, SaS 5.7%, Demokrati 5.2%, MA 5.1%, S/ZL 4.4%, SNS 3.2%, Kresťanská únia 1.5%, ĽSNS 1% and ZR 0.7%. If an election were held in Slovakia this Sunday, Republika might gain the most in voter favorability with +3.9 growth since the last election. HLAS, on the other hand, would lose the most votes (-3.5) in the election barometer compared to the last election result.

Peter Pellegrini is currently governing with a Coalition of the center from HLAS, SMER and SNS. With 39.2% of virtual seats, the government could fail to remain in office.

The election survey was collected by Ipsos. For this purpose, 1225 persons were asked about their party preference in a period of 5 days (30.05.2024 - 04.06.2024).

Coalition possibilities

96
Majority requires 49 seats
MA
4
5.1%
SMER
24
24.7%
HLAS
11
11.3%
PS
22
22%
KDH
7
6.3%
SaS
6
5.7%
D
5
5.2%
S/ZL
4
4.4%
KÚ
1
1.5%
SNS
3
3.2%
REP
9
8.7%
SMER + PS + HLAS
59.4%
SMER + PS + KDH
55.2%
SMER + HLAS + KDH + SaS + Demokrati
55.2%
SMER + PS + SaS
54.2%
SMER + HLAS + KDH + SaS + MA
54.2%
SMER + PS + Demokrati
53.1%
PS + HLAS + KDH + SaS + Demokrati
53.1%
SMER + HLAS + KDH + Demokrati + MA
53.1%
SMER + PS + MA
52.1%
PS + HLAS + KDH + SaS + MA
52.1%
SMER + HLAS + SaS + Demokrati + MA
52.1%
PS + HLAS + KDH + Demokrati + MA
51.0%
SMER + HLAS + KDH + SaS
50.0%
PS + HLAS + SaS + Demokrati + MA
50.0%
SMER + HLAS + KDH + Demokrati
49.0%

Frequently asked questions about election polls

Election poll results

This election poll on the parliamentary election in EU-Parliament was conducted by Ipsos. The survey took place between 30.05.2024 and 04.06.2024 among 1225 eligible voters. After this election poll would get SMER 24.6%, PS 21.9%, HLAS 11.2%, Republika 8.7%, KDH 6.3%, SaS 5.7%, Demokrati 5.2%, MA 5.1%, S/ZL 4.4%, SNS 3.2%, Kresťanská únia 1.5%, ĽSNS 1% and ZR 0.7%.

How reliable are election polls?

Election polls depict the current political mood and are not a forecast for the next upcoming election. Due to the polling method, the margin of error of each party's score is 1.5 to 3 percentage points, depending on the level of the score. For this reason, many polling institutes do not mention minor parties until values of around 3 percent are reached, as it is difficult to make serious statements below this level.

What should you look out for in election polls?

Pay attention to a sufficiently large sample size in polls. This should be at least 1000 respondents. Also pay attention to which institute is conducting the poll and who the clients are. Some institutes tend to rate certain parties too high or too low.
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